Roma vs Juventus: match statistics
Roma boasts an impressive home form with a 69% win rate at home and only 23% losses, making them a formidable opponent at the Stadio Olimpico. The hosts have a superior goal difference at their home ground (+13) and maintain clean sheets in 54% of their home matches, indicating a solid defense. Juventus shows weaker form in away matches with just a 46% win rate and as many as 38% losses, and their form in the last five games is concerning (0.8 points per match). Furthermore, Roma has better xG statistics in home matches (1.82) than Juventus in away matches (1.65), suggesting greater offensive efficiency from the hosts. Taking all these factors into account, Roma is the favorite for this match, although Juventus's quality means a draw is also a realistic scenario, hence the moderate probability of a home win.
Roma vs Juventus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Roma played Juventus in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Roma: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Juventus: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Roma scores 1.31 and concedes 0.62 goals per match. Juventus scores 1.65 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Roma 27%, Juventus 50%. Over 2.5: Roma 27%, Juventus 46%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Juventus has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.61. Roma: 13.8 shots per match, Juventus: 16.4.
Match halves
Roma: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.77. Juventus: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Roma: 61-75 (10 goals). Juventus: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Roma boasts an impressive home form with a 69% win rate at home and only 23% losses, making them a formidable opponent at the Stadio Olimpico. The hosts have a superior goal difference at their home ground (+13) and maintain clean sheets in 54% of their home matches, indicating a solid defense. Juventus shows weaker form in away matches with just a 46% win rate and as many as 38% losses, and their form in the last five games is concerning (0.8 points per match). Furthermore, Roma has better xG statistics in home matches (1.82) than Juventus in away matches (1.65), suggesting greater offensive efficiency from the hosts. Taking all these factors into account, Roma is the favorite for this match, although Juventus's quality means a draw is also a realistic scenario, hence the moderate probability of a home win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Roma | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Roma is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Roma · 1.4 pts / match - Juventus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Juventus is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Roma · 1.65 goals / match - Juventus
Roma is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.62 goals / match - Roma · 0.96 goals / match - Juventus
Roma scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Juventus keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
Juventus scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Roma keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Roma
Over / Under - Juventus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Roma is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Roma · 1.42 pts / match - Juventus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Roma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Juventus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Roma
Juventus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Roma | Liga | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.92 | 2.42 | ▲ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 46% | • 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 32% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 65% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Roma 0 - 0 - 1 Juventus. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Roma vs Juventus?
The Serie A match finished Roma 3:3 Juventus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Roma vs Juventus?
Roma score 1.31 goals per game on average and Juventus 1.65. The Serie A average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Roma's matches and 50% of Juventus's.
What form are Roma and Juventus in?
Over the last 5 games Roma have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Juventus 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Roma vs Juventus?
The statistical background for Roma vs Juventus — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.