Rosario Central vs Sarmiento: match statistics
Rosario Central vs Sarmiento: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rosario Central play Sarmiento in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 20 April 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Rosario Central: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sarmiento: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rosario Central scores 1.32 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Sarmiento scores 0.81 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rosario Central 63%, Sarmiento 38%. Over 2.5: Rosario Central 53%, Sarmiento 44%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Rosario Central has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.23. Rosario Central: 13.4 shots per match, Sarmiento: 9.9.
Match halves
Rosario Central: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.79. Sarmiento: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Rosario Central: 76-90+ (7 goals). Sarmiento: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Rosario Central holds a clear advantage in chance creation: at home they average 16.5 shots, including 6.17 on target, with xG 1.99, translating to 1.17 goals per game; Sarmiento away averages 8 shots, 2.5 on target, xG 1.0 and only 0.5 goals per game. Defensively the hosts concede 0.83 goals at home and keep 33% clean sheets, whereas Sarmiento away concedes 1.33 goals, has 0% clean sheets and concedes on average 2.1 xG. The performance gap is also reflected in results: Rosario wins 50% of home matches, while Sarmiento wins only 17% of away fixtures; shooting efficiency is similar (7% vs 6%), but Rosario’s superiority in volume of chances (16.5 vs 8 shots) is decisive. Although in the last 5 matches Rosario scored 4 goals and averages 1.4 points per game, and Sarmiento has 6 goals and 1.8 points, the visitors suffer 83% away losses and a -5 away goal difference, which weakens their prospects. Considering xG 1.99 vs 1.0, 6.17 vs 2.5 shots on target and the fact Sarmiento fail to score in 67% of away games, I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rosario Central | Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rosario Central is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Rosario Central · 1.2 pts / match - Sarmiento
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rosario Central is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Rosario Central · 0.81 goals / match - Sarmiento
Rosario Central is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Rosario Central · 1.25 goals / match - Sarmiento
Rosario Central scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Sarmiento keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Sarmiento scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Rosario Central keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rosario Central
Over / Under — Sarmiento
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rosario Central - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarmiento - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rosario Central
Sarmiento
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Rosario Central | Liga | Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.32 | 2.08 | • 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 34% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 34% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Rosario Central 2 - 1 - 0 Sarmiento. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rosario Central vs Sarmiento?
The Primera División match finished Rosario Central 2:1 Sarmiento. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rosario Central and Sarmiento?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Rosario Central won 2, Sarmiento won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rosario Central vs Sarmiento?
Rosario Central score 1.32 goals per game on average and Sarmiento 0.81. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Rosario Central's matches and 38% of Sarmiento's.
What form are Rosario Central and Sarmiento in?
Over the last 5 games Rosario Central have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sarmiento 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rosario Central vs Sarmiento?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.