Rosenborg vs Aalesund: match statistics
Rosenborg vs Aalesund: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rosenborg played Aalesund in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Rosenborg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Aalesund: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rosenborg scores 0.63 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Aalesund scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rosenborg 25%, Aalesund 71%. Over 2.5: Rosenborg 25%, Aalesund 57%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Aalesund has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.26. Rosenborg: 11.4 shots per match, Aalesund: 13.9.
Match halves
Rosenborg: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.13. Aalesund: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Rosenborg: 0-15 (2 goals). Aalesund: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rosenborg holds the advantage: at home they average 1.25 goals scored and concede 1.00, with average xG 1.41 versus opposition xG 1.36. Aalesund on the road scores only 0.33 goals per match, has zero away wins (0) and concedes 1.67 goals on average away, with a 67% share of matches without scoring. Rosenborg averages 13.25 shots and 3.25 on target per home game with a 9% conversion rate, while Aalesund averages 10.67 shots and 3.0 on target with a 3% conversion, indicating greater home efficiency. In their last 5 matches Rosenborg scored 5 and conceded 5, averaging 1.6 points per game; Aalesund scored 4, conceded 9 and averages only 0.4 points per game. Considering superior xG 1.41 vs 1.1, higher possession 53% vs 39% and an advantage in goal-zone efficiency, I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Rosenborg has a seasonal 100% BTTS at home, while Aalesund has only 33% BTTS away, producing a strong but partly conflicting signal. The home side averages 1.5 goals scored at home with xG 1.79 and 6.0 shots on target per match, yet concedes as many as 2.25 goals at home and has not kept a single clean sheet (0%), which increases the likelihood opponents will score. Aalesund away records just 0.33 average goals scored and a low shooting conversion of 3%, although its away xG is 1.1 — i.e. it creates chances but poor finishing undermines them. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred for Rosenborg in 40% and for Aalesund in 60%, and Aalesund conceded on average 1.8 goals in those five games, which further supports a goals-from-both-sides scenario. In summary, the home signal advantage (100% BTTS and 0% clean sheets) combined with Aalesund’s attacking issues suggests a BTTS - Yes selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model projects a total of around 3.42 goals: Rosenborg ≈2.08 (home xG 1.79 vs Aalesund away xG conceded 2.36) and Aalesund ≈1.34 (away xG 1.10 vs xG conceded to Rosenborg 1.58). Rosenborg at home has 100% of matches over 1.5 and 75% over 2.5, while Aalesund away has 67% over 1.5, 33% over 2.5 and 0% over 3.5, yielding a mixed but still attack-minded profile. Additionally, Rosenborg averages 6 shots on target per match versus 3 for Aalesund and has a conversion rate of 10% vs 3%, and Aalesund have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches (1.8 per match), confirming goal risk on the visitors' side. As a result the strongest signal is Over 2.5 (the over side, line 2.5) based on xG 3.42 and Rosenborg’s historical 75% Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates a Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of a draw at the break followed by a home win (X/1). Rosenborg were level at half-time in 4 of 4 home matches (100%) and average 0.75 goals by the break versus Aalesund’s 0.33, strongly favoring a draw HT. After the break the hosts hold the qualitative edge: xG 1.79 versus 1.10, 6 shots on target vs 3 and shooting conversion 10% vs 3%, which increases Rosenborg’s chance of a turnaround. Seasonally Rosenborg score 1.5 goals per game vs Aalesund’s 0.33, while visitors concede higher xG against at 2.36 compared with the hosts’ 1.58; additionally in the last 5 matches Rosenborg have a 40% win rate versus 0% for Aalesund, so the most likely outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Rosenborg victory.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rosenborg | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rosenborg is 300% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Rosenborg · 0.4 pts / match - Aalesund
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aalesund is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
0.63 goals / match - Rosenborg · 1 goals / match - Aalesund
Rosenborg is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Rosenborg · 2 goals / match - Aalesund
Rosenborg scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while Aalesund keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
Aalesund scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Rosenborg keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rosenborg
Over / Under - Aalesund
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aalesund is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Rosenborg · 1.14 pts / match - Aalesund
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rosenborg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aalesund - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rosenborg
Aalesund
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Rosenborg | Liga | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 48% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Rosenborg vs Aalesund?
The Eliteserien match finished Rosenborg 2:3 Aalesund. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rosenborg vs Aalesund?
Rosenborg score 0.63 goals per game on average and Aalesund 1.00. The Eliteserien average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Rosenborg's matches and 71% of Aalesund's.
What form are Rosenborg and Aalesund in?
Over the last 5 games Rosenborg have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Aalesund 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rosenborg vs Aalesund?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rosenborg vs Aalesund: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.