Rosenborg vs HamKam: match statistics

Rosenborg have a clear home advantage: they win 56% of their home matches, score an average of 2.00 goals and concede just 1.11, while HamKam win only 11% of their away fixtures. The hosts create more high-quality chances, as reflected by their average xG of 1.70 compared with the opponents’ 1.22, as well as 5.11 shots on target per match versus HamKam’s 3.44. The visitors’ away defence is error-prone, conceding an average of 2.00 goals and keeping a clean sheet in only 11% of their matches. Rosenborg also come into this fixture on the back of 3 wins in their last 5 matches and 17 goals scored, while HamKam have netted 11 goals during the same period. The hosts’ superior finishing, 55% possession and HamKam’s very poor away record all point towards a Rosenborg victory.

Rosenborg record BTTS in 67% of their matches, while HamKam do so in 56%, which is at least in line with the league average of 56%. The hosts score an average of 1.78 goals per match, while HamKam concede as many as 2.00 goals, clearly strengthening Rosenborg’s chances of finding the net. The visitors have a lower attacking average of 1.11 goals, but Rosenborg’s defence allows an average of 1.56 goals against, with an xG against figure of 1.73. In their last five matches, both teams have shown considerable attacking strength: Rosenborg scored 17 goals and HamKam 11, with xG figures of 1.86 and 1.34 respectively. HamKam’s BTTS rate dropping to 40% in their last five appearances reduces confidence in the pick, but the visitors’ weak defence and the hosts’ regular concessions still point more strongly towards a scenario in which both teams score.

Rosenborg average 1.78 goals per match, while HamKam concede as many as 2.00, clearly strengthening the case for at least two goals. In their last five matches, the hosts scored an impressive 3.4 goals per game, with an xG of 1.86, while HamKam allowed opponents an average xG of 2.01. The 1.5-goal line was covered in 89% of matches involving both teams, and neither side recorded a game without at least one goal. An additional argument is the league average of 3.09 goals, along with 80% of matches going Over 2.5 goals in each team’s last five appearances. The strongest selection remains Over 1.5 goals, as it is supported both by a very high historical hit rate and Rosenborg’s current attacking form.

Rosenborg have a clear advantage in their home results: they score an average of 1.78 goals per match, win 56% of their games and record 1.89 points per match, while HamKam win only 11% of their away fixtures and concede an average of 2.00 goals. The strongest signal concerns the first half, as the hosts held a lead at the break in 44% of their matches, while the visitors were trailing at half-time in as many as 67%; on average, Rosenborg score 0.67 goals before the break, whereas HamKam concede 1.11. The hosts’ advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created: they average 4.89 shots on target compared with their opponents’ 3.44, while their finishing efficiency stands at 16%, against 11% for HamKam. The match could remain open after the interval, as Rosenborg score an average of 1.11 goals in second halves and have scored as many as 2.4 goals per match in the second half across their last five fixtures. The most likely HT/FT scenario is therefore a Rosenborg lead at half-time followed by a full-time victory, although their high average of 1.56 goals conceded limits confidence in this outcome.