Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08: match statistics
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rosenborg played Sarpsborg 08 in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Rosenborg: 0-0-3, 0.00 points/match. Sarpsborg 08: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rosenborg scores 0.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Sarpsborg 08 scores 1.50 and concedes 0.50. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rosenborg 0%, Sarpsborg 08 50%. Over 2.5: Rosenborg 0%, Sarpsborg 08 0%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Sarpsborg 08 has higher xG: 1.54 vs 0.89. Rosenborg: 7.7 shots per match, Sarpsborg 08: 12.5.
Match halves
Rosenborg: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Sarpsborg 08: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Rosenborg: 0-15 (0 goals). Sarpsborg 08: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sarpsborg 08 is the favorite: they sit 6th (Rosenborg 16th) and have a 100% win rate away, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away match. Rosenborg have not scored at home yet (0.0 goals average, 100% of home matches without a goal) and concede 2.0 goals per game, with an average of 1.0 shots on target per match versus 6.0 shots on target for the visitors. Despite higher possession (61% vs 36%), the hosts are inefficient — their shot conversion is 0% versus 25% for Sarpsborg, and xG is 1.37 for Rosenborg and 1.26 for Sarpsborg, indicating the visitors convert chances more effectively. In the last 5 matches Rosenborg have 1 win and 4 losses, conceding 10 goals, while Sarpsborg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, scoring 6 goals and averaging 1.4 points per match over this period. Given Rosenborg’s 0 home goals, 100% of home matches without a goal and Sarpsborg’s 100% clean sheets away, I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
xG analysis shows Rosenborg with xG_for 1.81 and Sarpsborg 1.26; this translates to roughly an 84% chance Rosenborg will score at least once and about a 72% chance for Sarpsborg, yielding an approximate 60% BTTS probability assuming independence. Sarpsborg stands out with a 25% conversion rate on an average of 8 shots per match and a seasonal scoring average of 2.0 goals, whereas Rosenborg produces 17 shots with a 6% conversion and a seasonal average of 1.0 goal, so the visitors are more efficient at capitalizing on chances. Seasonal indicators conflict (seasonal BTTS rate: Rosenborg 100% vs Sarpsborg 0%), therefore I place greater weight on form: in the last 5 matches Rosenborg has BTTS 20% and concedes an average of 2.0 goals, while Sarpsborg has BTTS 60% and concedes 1.2 goals. Additionally Sarpsborg’s defense generates xG_against 1.86 versus 0.84 for Rosenborg, suggesting the visitors allow more scoring opportunities; combined with the league average BTTS of 52%, the both-teams-to-score scenario is stronger, hence the pick YES (62% vs 38%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals (xG) are about 1.84 for Rosenborg and 1.05 for Sarpsborg, totaling 2.89 goals. Using a Poisson distribution with a mean of 2.89, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is roughly 78%. Seasonal metrics confirm this signal: Over 1.5 is at 100% for both home and away teams, while the league average is 2.95 goals per match. Over 2.5 is weaker (approx. 55% given our combined xG) and has occurred in only 40% of the last 5 matches for both teams. Additionally, Rosenborg averages 17 shots with a 6% conversion rate, and Sarpsborg 8 shots with a 25% conversion rate, which together sustain the goal probability; therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is the away side leading at the break and winning the match (2/2) — I assign this a 50% probability. Sarpsborg averages 2.0 goals per game and concedes 0.0 on average, and in the available sample the visitors won 100% of matches and led at the break in 100% of cases, which strongly supports maintaining the lead. Rosenborg has lower goal averages (1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded) and despite a higher xG (1.81 vs 1.26) and a larger volume of shots (17 vs 8, with 5 on target vs 6) they convert only 6% of attempts compared to Sarpsborg’s 25%, meaning the home side is less efficient. For this reason I assign lower probabilities to draw-starting scenarios (X/2 15% and X/X 10%) and minimal chances to surprise scenarios with the home side leading at the break (total 15%: 1/1 8%, 1/X 5%, 1/2 2%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rosenborg | Sarpsborg 08 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 13% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sarpsborg 08 is 300% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Rosenborg · 0.5 goals / match - Sarpsborg 08
Rosenborg scores in 0% of matches (0 of 3 matches), while Sarpsborg 08 keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Sarpsborg 08 scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Rosenborg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rosenborg
Over / Under - Sarpsborg 08
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarpsborg 08 is 506% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.33 pts / match - Rosenborg · 2 pts / match - Sarpsborg 08
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rosenborg - second-half results
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sarpsborg 08 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Rosenborg | Liga | Sarpsborg 08 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 3.04 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 54% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 71% | ▼ 0% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Rosenborg 0 - 2 - 2 Sarpsborg 08. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08?
The Eliteserien match finished Rosenborg 2:1 Sarpsborg 08. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rosenborg and Sarpsborg 08?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Rosenborg won 0, Sarpsborg 08 won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08?
Rosenborg score 0.00 goals per game on average and Sarpsborg 08 1.50. The Eliteserien average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Rosenborg's matches and 50% of Sarpsborg 08's.
What form are Rosenborg and Sarpsborg 08 in?
Over the last 5 games Rosenborg have a 0-0-3 record (0.00 points per game) and Sarpsborg 08 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.