Scotland - ChampionshipData current as of 06 September 2026

Ross County vs Dunfermline Athletic: match statistics

125%(2.37)
X25%(3.10)
250%(2.70)

Dunfermline Athletic are in significantly better form than Ross County, as evidenced by their last five matches – the visitors have collected 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw) compared to just 3 points for the hosts (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). Ross County are sitting in a distant 10th place in the table with a negative home goal difference (-5), while Dunfermline occupy 4th position with a positive away goal difference (+3). The hosts have a very poor home efficiency – they have won only 29% of their home matches and failed to score in 36% of those games. The visitors display better shooting efficiency (15% shot conversion rate compared to Ross County's 9%) as well as greater defensive solidity (38% clean sheets away from home). Taking all statistical data into account, Dunfermline Athletic are the clear favorites in this encounter.

Ross County vs Dunfermline Athletic: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ross County played Dunfermline Athletic in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Ross County: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Dunfermline Athletic: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ross County scores 0.83 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Dunfermline Athletic scores 1.43 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.38 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ross County 34%, Dunfermline Athletic 36%. Over 2.5: Ross County 41%, Dunfermline Athletic 46%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Dunfermline Athletic has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.23. Ross County: 10.3 shots per match, Dunfermline Athletic: 10.3.

Match halves

Ross County: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.41. Dunfermline Athletic: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Ross County: 31-45+ (5 goals). Dunfermline Athletic: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Dunfermline Athletic are in significantly better form than Ross County, as evidenced by their last five matches – the visitors have collected 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw) compared to just 3 points for the hosts (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). Ross County are sitting in a distant 10th place in the table with a negative home goal difference (-5), while Dunfermline occupy 4th position with a positive away goal difference (+3). The hosts have a very poor home efficiency – they have won only 29% of their home matches and failed to score in 36% of those games. The visitors display better shooting efficiency (15% shot conversion rate compared to Ross County's 9%) as well as greater defensive solidity (38% clean sheets away from home). Taking all statistical data into account, Dunfermline Athletic are the clear favorites in this encounter.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

37Possession (%)63
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
10Shots7
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
5Shots on target3
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
1.44xG1.09
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
13Corners4
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
63Dangerous attacks59
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
12Fouls8
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
4Cards1
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
0.83Goals scored / match1.43
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
1.48Goals conceded / match1.14
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
47%Average possession51%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
3.38Shots on target / match4.14
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.28Shots per match10.29
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
3.38Shots on target4.14
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
8.1%Shot conversion13.9%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
47%Possession51%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
1.23xG for1.34
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
1.45xG against1.33
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic

Shooting quality

Ross County: BalancedDunfermline Athletic: Efficient finishing
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
Accuracy (shots on target)33%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Dunfermline Athletic is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Ross County · 2 pts / match - Dunfermline Athletic

Ross County
DWLDL
Season result split
21% W31% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-9-14
0.93 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-8
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.72Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
Dunfermline Athletic
LDWWW
Season result split
39% W21% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-11
1.39 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dunfermline Athletic is 72% better for: goals scored per match.

0.83 goals / match - Ross County · 1.43 goals / match - Dunfermline Athletic

Dunfermline Athletic is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.48 goals / match - Ross County · 1.14 goals / match - Dunfermline Athletic

Ross County scoring profile: mixed

Ross County scores in 52% of matches (15 of 29 matches), while Dunfermline Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 matches).

Dunfermline Athletic scoring profile: strong

Dunfermline Athletic scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Ross County keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).

24Goals scored (season)40
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
43Goals conceded (season)32
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
2.31Average goals in match2.57
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
2Goals scored (last 5)11
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic

How often they score at least...

52%1 goal71%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
24%2 goals46%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
7%3 goals14%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
0%4 goals7%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal57%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
48%2 goals43%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
21%3 goals11%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
3%4 goals4%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

36%
Dunfermline Athletic - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 28 matches
48%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time14%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
10%BTTS in both halves14%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
14%Scored in both halves32%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic

BTTS and goal count

28%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
0%BTTS - last 540%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Dunfermline Athletic is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.03 pts / match - Ross County · 1.43 pts / match - Dunfermline Athletic

Ross County - half-time state
21% leading41% draw38% trailing
Dunfermline Athletic - half-time state
39% leading25% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.03Points per match (1st half)1.43
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
0.62Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.32
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
48%Clean sheet before half-time54%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
72%No goal before half-time46%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic

After half-time (2nd half)

0.79Points per match (2nd half)1.39
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
0.41Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.54
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
1.28Average goals (2nd half)1.25
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
41%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic
62%No goal after half-time50%
Ross CountyDunfermline Athletic

Ross County - second-half results

14% W38% R48% P
30
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Dunfermline Athletic - second-half results

32% W43% R25% P
40
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ross County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.00.2
1 goal60%20%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Dunfermline Athletic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ross County
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
3
7
16-30
5
6
31-45
4
8
46-60
3
7
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Dunfermline Athletic
ScoredConceded
3
10
0-15
7
4
16-30
10
3
31-45
7
3
46-60
3
6
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+64%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ross County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Dunfermline Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.61
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Ross CountyLigaDunfermline Athletic
Average goals in match 2.312.38 2.57
Both teams scored 34%48% 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%43% 46%
Clean sheets 31%33% 43%
Goal before half-time 66%68% 86%
Goal after half-time 72%68% 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.38
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Ross CountyGoalKeiran PhillipsAssist: Jay Henderson
  2. Ross CountyGoalKeiran PhillipsAssist: Uche Ikpeazu
  3. Dunfermline AthleticYellow cardKyle Benedictus
  4. Dunfermline AthleticGoalCallumn Morrison
  5. Ross CountyYellow cardUche Ikpeazu
  6. Dunfermline AthleticSubstitutionOn: Josh CooperOff: Chris Kane
  7. Dunfermline AthleticGoalAndrew TodAssist: Robbie Fraser
  8. Ross CountyYellow cardConnor Steven Randall
  9. Ross CountyYellow cardSean Mackie
  10. Ross CountySubstitutionOn: James ScottOff: Akil Wright
  11. Dunfermline AthleticSubstitutionOn: Christopher HamiltonOff: Alfons Amade
  12. Dunfermline AthleticSubstitutionOn: Tashan Oakley-BootheOff: Callumn Morrison
  13. Ross CountyYellow cardSean Mackie

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Grant IrvineMatches officiated: 15
3.87Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 253%Home wins27%Draws20%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Ross County 1 - 1 - 1 Dunfermline Athletic. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Dunfermline Athletic FC
3 : 0
Ross County FC
Ross County FC
3 : 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 : 2
Ross County FC

FAQ

What was the result of Ross County vs Dunfermline Athletic?

The Championship match finished Ross County 2:2 Dunfermline Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ross County and Dunfermline Athletic?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ross County won 1, Dunfermline Athletic won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ross County vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Ross County score 0.83 goals per game on average and Dunfermline Athletic 1.43. The Championship average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Ross County's matches and 36% of Dunfermline Athletic's.

What form are Ross County and Dunfermline Athletic in?

Over the last 5 games Ross County have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Dunfermline Athletic 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ross County vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ross County vs Dunfermline Athletic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.