Ross County vs Raith Rovers: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest with a slight inclination towards a draw. Ross County has poor home form with only 23% wins and a negative goal difference (-7), though their last 5 overall matches show improvement (1.4 PPG). Raith Rovers are characterized by defensive solidity on the road (62% clean sheets, averaging 0.85 goals conceded) but struggle offensively (62% FTS%, only 0.46 goals per match). The visitors' form is very poor, with 0 wins and 4 draws in their last 5 games. The low chance conversion rate for both teams (8% vs 5%) and the prevalence of draws in Raith's statistics (46% Draw%) suggest the match will end with points shared. Predicted score: 1-1 or 0-0.
Ross County vs Raith Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ross County played Raith Rovers in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Ross County: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Raith Rovers: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ross County scores 0.88 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Raith Rovers scores 1.08 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ross County 40%, Raith Rovers 31%. Over 2.5: Ross County 44%, Raith Rovers 35%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Ross County has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.28. Ross County: 11.2 shots per match, Raith Rovers: 10.3.
Match halves
Ross County: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.48. Raith Rovers: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Ross County: 76-90+ (5 goals). Raith Rovers: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest with a slight inclination towards a draw. Ross County has poor home form with only 23% wins and a negative goal difference (-7), though their last 5 overall matches show improvement (1.4 PPG). Raith Rovers are characterized by defensive solidity on the road (62% clean sheets, averaging 0.85 goals conceded) but struggle offensively (62% FTS%, only 0.46 goals per match). The visitors' form is very poor, with 0 wins and 4 draws in their last 5 games. The low chance conversion rate for both teams (8% vs 5%) and the prevalence of draws in Raith's statistics (46% Draw%) suggest the match will end with points shared. Predicted score: 1-1 or 0-0.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ross County | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ross County is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Ross County · 1 pts / match - Raith Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Raith Rovers is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Ross County · 1.08 goals / match - Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Ross County · 1 goals / match - Raith Rovers
Ross County scores in 56% of matches (14 of 25 matches), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 50% (13 of 26 matches).
Raith Rovers scores in 54% of matches (14 of 26 matches), while Ross County keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ross County
Over / Under - Raith Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ross County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Raith Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ross County
Raith Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ross County | Liga | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.44 | 2.45 | ▼ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 50% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 44% | 44% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 69% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ross County 1 - 0 - 1 Raith Rovers. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ross County vs Raith Rovers?
The Championship match finished Ross County 2:0 Raith Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ross County and Raith Rovers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ross County won 1, Raith Rovers won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ross County vs Raith Rovers?
Ross County score 0.88 goals per game on average and Raith Rovers 1.08. The Championship average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Ross County's matches and 31% of Raith Rovers's.
What form are Ross County and Raith Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Ross County have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Raith Rovers 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ross County vs Raith Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.