Rot-Weiss Essen vs Erzgebirge Aue: match statistics
Rot-Weiss Essen presents significantly better form and statistics, occupying 4th place in the table with an impressive record of 13 wins. The hosts are extremely effective at their own stadium, winning 57% of their home matches and scoring an average of 2 goals per game, with only a 14% loss rate. Erzgebirge Aue finds themselves in a dire situation in 17th position, with a streak of 4 consecutive defeats and merely an 8% away win rate. The visitors concede an average of 1.85 goals in away matches and have a negative goal difference of -12, which, combined with poor efficiency (0.92 goals per match), puts them in a highly disadvantageous position. The disparity in form, efficiency, and league standing clearly supports a confident home win, although H2H history and the unpredictability of football leave a slight chance for an upset.
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Erzgebirge Aue: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rot-Weiss Essen played Erzgebirge Aue in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Rot-Weiss Essen: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Erzgebirge Aue: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rot-Weiss Essen scores 1.96 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Erzgebirge Aue scores 1.11 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rot-Weiss Essen 82%, Erzgebirge Aue 61%. Over 2.5: Rot-Weiss Essen 64%, Erzgebirge Aue 64%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Rot-Weiss Essen has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.50. Rot-Weiss Essen: 15.1 shots per match, Erzgebirge Aue: 12.5.
Match halves
Rot-Weiss Essen: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.25. Erzgebirge Aue: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Rot-Weiss Essen: 76-90+ (16 goals). Erzgebirge Aue: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rot-Weiss Essen presents significantly better form and statistics, occupying 4th place in the table with an impressive record of 13 wins. The hosts are extremely effective at their own stadium, winning 57% of their home matches and scoring an average of 2 goals per game, with only a 14% loss rate. Erzgebirge Aue finds themselves in a dire situation in 17th position, with a streak of 4 consecutive defeats and merely an 8% away win rate. The visitors concede an average of 1.85 goals in away matches and have a negative goal difference of -12, which, combined with poor efficiency (0.92 goals per match), puts them in a highly disadvantageous position. The disparity in form, efficiency, and league standing clearly supports a confident home win, although H2H history and the unpredictability of football leave a slight chance for an upset.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rot-Weiss Essen | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 800% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 0.2 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 77% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1.11 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Rot-Weiss Essen scores in 93% of matches (26 of 28 matches), while Erzgebirge Aue keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Erzgebirge Aue scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Rot-Weiss Essen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rot-Weiss Essen
Over / Under - Erzgebirge Aue
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1.07 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rot-Weiss Essen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Erzgebirge Aue - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rot-Weiss Essen
Erzgebirge Aue
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rot-Weiss Essen | Liga | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.61 | 3.12 | ▼ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 82% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 64% | 63% | • 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 22% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 83% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rot-Weiss Essen 0 - 1 - 0 Erzgebirge Aue. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The 3. Liga match finished Rot-Weiss Essen 4:2 Erzgebirge Aue. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rot-Weiss Essen vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Rot-Weiss Essen score 1.96 goals per game on average and Erzgebirge Aue 1.11. The 3. Liga average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Rot-Weiss Essen's matches and 61% of Erzgebirge Aue's.
What form are Rot-Weiss Essen and Erzgebirge Aue in?
Over the last 5 games Rot-Weiss Essen have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Erzgebirge Aue 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Erzgebirge Aue?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.