Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln: match statistics
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rot-Weiss Essen played Fortuna Köln in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 13 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Essen. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Rot-Weiss Essen: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Fortuna Köln: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rot-Weiss Essen scores 2.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Fortuna Köln scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rot-Weiss Essen 63%, Fortuna Köln 50%. Over 2.5: Rot-Weiss Essen 50%, Fortuna Köln 38%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Rot-Weiss Essen has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.23. Rot-Weiss Essen: 14.9 shots per match, Fortuna Köln: 9.6.
Match halves
Rot-Weiss Essen: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25. Fortuna Köln: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Rot-Weiss Essen: 76-90+ (6 goals). Fortuna Köln: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.40 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rot-Weiss Essen are 3rd and have not lost any of their last 5 matches, winning 3 of them; Fortuna Köln are 12th and have recorded 2 wins over the same period. At home, the hosts have won 75% of their matches, scoring an average of 2.25 goals and conceding 0.75, while Fortuna score 1.75 goals and concede 1.25 on the road. The quality of chances also favours Essen: their home xG is 1.95, while Fortuna allow chances worth an average of 2.02 xG away from home. The hosts average 17.25 shots at home compared with the visitors’ 7.5 shots on the road, increasing the likelihood that they can maintain pressure throughout the match. However, Fortuna have won half of their away matches and convert 23% of their shots, so despite Essen’s clear advantage, an upset cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Fortuna Köln average 1.75 goals away from home and have scored an average of 1.4 goals in their last five matches, giving them a solid basis for finding the net. The greater uncertainty surrounds Rot-Weiss Essen: they score just 0.33 goals per home match and have failed to score in 67% of those games. However, their form over the last five matches points to a possible change in that trend, with the hosts averaging 2.0 goals, while Fortuna have failed to keep a clean sheet away from home and allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 2.02. Both teams scored in 60% of each side’s last five matches, so despite the hosts’ poor home scoring record, BTTS - Yes is marginally more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 67% of Rot-Weiss Essen's home matches and 75% of Fortuna Köln's away fixtures. The hosts have averaged 2.0 goals scored across their last five matches, with an xG of 1.68, pointing to greater attacking potential than their home average of 0.33 goals. Fortuna average 1.75 goals away from home, while the hosts concede 1.0 goal per home match, giving the visitors a realistic chance to score as well. Although none of Essen's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals, the league average is 3.27 goals, and the teams' last five matches have averaged 2.8 and 2.6 goals respectively. Therefore, the lower Over 1.5 goals line offers a stronger signal than backing at least three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Rot-Weiss Essen win: the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and did not concede before half-time in any of them. Over the same period, Fortuna Köln averaged 0.4 goals before the break, limiting the visitors’ chances of taking an early lead. The case for a home win is supported by their recent form: they won 3 of 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals, while Fortuna conceded an average of 1.2. However, this pick carries risk: Essen have yet to win any of their matches at home, and Fortuna averaged 1.75 goals away from home, so a draw or an away win remain significant alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rot-Weiss Essen | Fortuna Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1.2 pts / match - Fortuna Köln
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1 goals / match - Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1 goals / match - Fortuna Köln
Rot-Weiss Essen scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Fortuna Köln keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Fortuna Köln scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Rot-Weiss Essen keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rot-Weiss Essen
Over / Under - Fortuna Köln
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 0.75 pts / match - Fortuna Köln
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rot-Weiss Essen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fortuna Köln - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rot-Weiss Essen
Fortuna Köln
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rot-Weiss Essen | Liga | Fortuna Köln | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 3.40 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 66% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 20% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 80% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln?
The 3. Liga match finished Rot-Weiss Essen 2:0 Fortuna Köln. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln?
Rot-Weiss Essen score 2.00 goals per game on average and Fortuna Köln 1.00. The 3. Liga average is 3.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Rot-Weiss Essen's matches and 50% of Fortuna Köln's.
What form are Rot-Weiss Essen and Fortuna Köln in?
Over the last 5 games Rot-Weiss Essen have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Fortuna Köln 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.