Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg: match statistics
Rot-Weiss Essen are displaying solid home form with 50% wins and just 17% defeats at their own stadium, scoring an average of 2 goals per game at home. The hosts are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and have not recorded a single goalless game in home matches this season. Jahn Regensburg have poor away form with 58% losses and just 25% wins, additionally failing to score in 42% of their away matches. The difference in goal difference (+9 for the hosts at home vs -6 for the guests away) and the advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.61) speak in favor of Rot-Weiss Essen. Considering all these factors, the hosts are the favorites, although the solid defensive form of both teams (similar xGA) could make the match evenly contested, hence a significant probability of a draw.
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rot-Weiss Essen played Jahn Regensburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Rot-Weiss Essen: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Jahn Regensburg: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rot-Weiss Essen scores 1.96 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Jahn Regensburg scores 1.26 and concedes 1.48. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rot-Weiss Essen 87%, Jahn Regensburg 35%. Over 2.5: Rot-Weiss Essen 61%, Jahn Regensburg 52%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Rot-Weiss Essen has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.53. Rot-Weiss Essen: 15.0 shots per match, Jahn Regensburg: 12.3.
Match halves
Rot-Weiss Essen: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.22. Jahn Regensburg: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Rot-Weiss Essen: 76-90+ (13 goals). Jahn Regensburg: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rot-Weiss Essen are displaying solid home form with 50% wins and just 17% defeats at their own stadium, scoring an average of 2 goals per game at home. The hosts are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and have not recorded a single goalless game in home matches this season. Jahn Regensburg have poor away form with 58% losses and just 25% wins, additionally failing to score in 42% of their away matches. The difference in goal difference (+9 for the hosts at home vs -6 for the guests away) and the advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.61) speak in favor of Rot-Weiss Essen. Considering all these factors, the hosts are the favorites, although the solid defensive form of both teams (similar xGA) could make the match evenly contested, hence a significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rot-Weiss Essen | Jahn Regensburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1 pts / match - Jahn Regensburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1.26 goals / match - Jahn Regensburg
Jahn Regensburg is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1.48 goals / match - Jahn Regensburg
Rot-Weiss Essen scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while Jahn Regensburg keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Jahn Regensburg scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Rot-Weiss Essen keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rot-Weiss Essen
Over / Under - Jahn Regensburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1.04 pts / match - Jahn Regensburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rot-Weiss Essen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Jahn Regensburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rot-Weiss Essen
Jahn Regensburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rot-Weiss Essen | Liga | Jahn Regensburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.52 | 3.14 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 87% | 62% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 61% | 63% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 22% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 83% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rot-Weiss Essen 1 - 0 - 0 Jahn Regensburg. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg?
The 3. Liga match finished Rot-Weiss Essen 3:2 Jahn Regensburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg?
Rot-Weiss Essen score 1.96 goals per game on average and Jahn Regensburg 1.26. The 3. Liga average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 87% of Rot-Weiss Essen's matches and 35% of Jahn Regensburg's.
What form are Rot-Weiss Essen and Jahn Regensburg in?
Over the last 5 games Rot-Weiss Essen have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Jahn Regensburg 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.