Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Rot-Weiss Essen played Ulm in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Rot-Weiss Essen: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ulm: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Rot-Weiss Essen scores 1.83 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Ulm scores 1.33 and concedes 2.28. League average: 3.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Rot-Weiss Essen 83%, Ulm 72%. Over 2.5: Rot-Weiss Essen 61%, Ulm 78%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Rot-Weiss Essen has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.33. Rot-Weiss Essen: 16.4 shots per match, Ulm: 10.7.

Match halves

Rot-Weiss Essen: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.22. Ulm: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Rot-Weiss Essen: 76-90+ (10 goals). Ulm: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3. Liga: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
13Shots11
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
6Shots on target5
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
1.62xG1.4
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
8Corners6
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
52Dangerous attacks49
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
8Fouls6
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
5Cards2
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
1.83Goals scored / match1.33
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
1.56Goals conceded / match2.28
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
51%Average possession50%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
5.89Shots on target / match3.56
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.39Shots per match10.72
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
5.89Shots on target3.56
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
11.2%Shot conversion12.4%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
51%Possession50%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
1.9xG for1.33
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
1.62xG against1.81
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm

Shooting quality

Rot-Weiss Essen: AttackingUlm: Balanced
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
Accuracy (shots on target)36%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rot-Weiss Essen is 167% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 0.6 pts / match - Ulm

Rot-Weiss Essen
WLWDD
Season result split
44% W39% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-7-3
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.91Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Ulm
LLLWL
Season result split
28% W6% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-12
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rot-Weiss Essen is 38% better for: goals scored per match.

1.83 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1.33 goals / match - Ulm

Rot-Weiss Essen is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 2.28 goals / match - Ulm

Rot-Weiss Essen scoring profile: very strong

Rot-Weiss Essen scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).

Ulm scoring profile: very strong

Ulm scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Rot-Weiss Essen keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).

33Goals scored (season)24
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
28Goals conceded (season)41
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
3.39Average goals in match3.61
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
8Goals scored (last 5)5
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
7Goals conceded (last 5)13
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal83%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
56%2 goals22%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
28%3 goals17%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
6%4 goals6%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal89%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
33%2 goals61%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
22%3 goals39%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
6%4 goals22%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time33%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
22%Scored in both halves17%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
80%BTTS - last 540%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
61%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
39%Min. 3 goals after half-time39%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rot-Weiss Essen is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.28 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 0.78 pts / match - Ulm

Rot-Weiss Essen - half-time state
28% leading44% draw28% trailing
Ulm - half-time state
17% leading28% draw56% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.28Points per match (1st half)0.78
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.56
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)1.11
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.67
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
61%Clean sheet before half-time22%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
56%No goal before half-time56%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)0.89
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
1.22Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.17
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
2.22Average goals (2nd half)1.94
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
33%Clean sheet after half-time39%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm
28%No goal after half-time44%
Rot-Weiss EssenUlm

Rot-Weiss Essen - second-half results

39% W50% R11% P
23
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding157%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ulm - second-half results

17% W39% R44% P
14
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rot-Weiss Essen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.01.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.22.8
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Ulm - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.00
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.61.0
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-7-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Rot-Weiss Essen
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
5
6
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
2
46-60
8
7
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ulm
ScoredConceded
1
7
0-15
4
9
16-30
5
4
31-45
5
7
46-60
3
6
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
78%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
78%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Rot-Weiss Essen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Ulm

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

Rot-Weiss EssenLigaUlm
Average goals in match 3.393.16 3.61
Both teams scored 83%64% 72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%64% 78%
Clean sheets 17%21% 11%
Goal before half-time 67%75% 89%
Goal after half-time 78%84% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.16
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / match
1.49
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Rot-Weiss EssenGoalMarek JanssenAssist: Tom Moustier
  2. Rot-Weiss EssenGoalKlaus GjasulaAssist: Jannik Hofmann
  3. UlmSubstitutionOn: Jan BollerOff: Marcel Seegert
  4. Rot-Weiss EssenYellow cardJose Enrique Rios Alonso
  5. Rot-Weiss EssenGoalKaito Mizuta
  6. Rot-Weiss EssenYellow cardMarek Janssen
  7. Rot-Weiss EssenSubstitutionOn: Ramien SafiOff: Marek Janssen
  8. UlmYellow cardEnsar Aksakal
  9. Rot-Weiss EssenYellow cardJannik Mause
  10. Rot-Weiss EssenYellow cardKlaus Gjasula
  11. UlmYellow cardNiklas Kölle
  12. Rot-Weiss EssenSubstitutionOn: Gianluca SwajkowskiOff: Tom Moustier
  13. Rot-Weiss EssenYellow cardJannik Hofmann

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm?

The 3. Liga match finished Rot-Weiss Essen 3:2 Ulm. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm?

Rot-Weiss Essen score 1.83 goals per game on average and Ulm 1.33. The 3. Liga average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Rot-Weiss Essen's matches and 72% of Ulm's.

What form are Rot-Weiss Essen and Ulm in?

Over the last 5 games Rot-Weiss Essen have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ulm 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.