Rotherham United vs AFC Wimbledon: match statistics
Rotherham United is in dismal form, having lost all of their last 5 matches and sitting in 23rd place in the table, suggesting a relegation battle. However, the hosts have a decent home record with 33% wins and only 25% of matches without scoring. AFC Wimbledon presents unstable away form (54% away losses), but in their last 5 matches, they scored 7 goals and won 2 games, showing some resurgence. xG statistics are very close for both teams (1.31 vs 1.1 for the guests), and the average goals in both teams' matches point to an encounter with goals. Given Rotherham's desperation for points and Wimbledon's instability on the road, I expect a close, exciting match with a slight leaning towards a draw or a minimal victory for one side.
Rotherham United vs AFC Wimbledon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rotherham United played AFC Wimbledon in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Rotherham United: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. AFC Wimbledon: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rotherham United scores 0.96 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. AFC Wimbledon scores 1.08 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rotherham United 48%, AFC Wimbledon 44%. Over 2.5: Rotherham United 56%, AFC Wimbledon 48%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Rotherham United has higher xG: 1.15 vs 1.11. Rotherham United: 9.8 shots per match, AFC Wimbledon: 9.8.
Match halves
Rotherham United: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.56. AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Rotherham United: 46-60 (5 goals). AFC Wimbledon: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rotherham United is in dismal form, having lost all of their last 5 matches and sitting in 23rd place in the table, suggesting a relegation battle. However, the hosts have a decent home record with 33% wins and only 25% of matches without scoring. AFC Wimbledon presents unstable away form (54% away losses), but in their last 5 matches, they scored 7 goals and won 2 games, showing some resurgence. xG statistics are very close for both teams (1.31 vs 1.1 for the guests), and the average goals in both teams' matches point to an encounter with goals. Given Rotherham's desperation for points and Wimbledon's instability on the road, I expect a close, exciting match with a slight leaning towards a draw or a minimal victory for one side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rotherham United | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AFC Wimbledon is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Rotherham United · 1.08 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Rotherham United · 1.36 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon
Rotherham United scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
AFC Wimbledon scores in 56% of matches (14 of 25 matches), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rotherham United
Over / Under - AFC Wimbledon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AFC Wimbledon is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Rotherham United · 1.28 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rotherham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rotherham United
AFC Wimbledon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Rotherham United | Liga | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.48 | 2.53 | • 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 48% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rotherham United 0 - 0 - 1 AFC Wimbledon. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rotherham United vs AFC Wimbledon?
The EFL League One match finished Rotherham United 1:1 AFC Wimbledon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rotherham United vs AFC Wimbledon?
Rotherham United score 0.96 goals per game on average and AFC Wimbledon 1.08. The EFL League One average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Rotherham United's matches and 44% of AFC Wimbledon's.
What form are Rotherham United and AFC Wimbledon in?
Over the last 5 games Rotherham United have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and AFC Wimbledon 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rotherham United vs AFC Wimbledon?
The statistical background for Rotherham United vs AFC Wimbledon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.