Rotherham United vs Cardiff City: match statistics
Cardiff City sit top of the table with an impressive record of 18 wins, 6 draws, and only 5 losses, while Rotherham United are in 21st place with just 8 wins this season. The visitors are in significantly better form over their last five matches (1.8 points per game) compared to the hosts (1.4 points per game), and their dwdwd run indicates stability. Cardiff City is characterized by ball possession dominance (61% average away) and defensive efficiency with 36% clean sheets in away matches, while Rotherham concede an average of 1.36 goals per game at home. Cardiff's goal difference (+4 away) significantly surpasses Rotherham's balance (-1 at home), which further favors the visitors. Considering all statistics, Cardiff City holds a clear advantage, although their away match difficulties and Rotherham's solid home form in recent matches (wdwldwdwdllldw) make a draw a realistic scenario as well.
Rotherham United vs Cardiff City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rotherham United played Cardiff City in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Rotherham United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cardiff City: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rotherham United scores 1.11 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Cardiff City scores 1.79 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rotherham United 50%, Cardiff City 55%. Over 2.5: Rotherham United 57%, Cardiff City 55%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.21. Rotherham United: 10.4 shots per match, Cardiff City: 14.3.
Match halves
Rotherham United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Cardiff City: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Rotherham United: 46-60 (7 goals). Cardiff City: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cardiff City sit top of the table with an impressive record of 18 wins, 6 draws, and only 5 losses, while Rotherham United are in 21st place with just 8 wins this season. The visitors are in significantly better form over their last five matches (1.8 points per game) compared to the hosts (1.4 points per game), and their dwdwd run indicates stability. Cardiff City is characterized by ball possession dominance (61% average away) and defensive efficiency with 36% clean sheets in away matches, while Rotherham concede an average of 1.36 goals per game at home. Cardiff's goal difference (+4 away) significantly surpasses Rotherham's balance (-1 at home), which further favors the visitors. Considering all statistics, Cardiff City holds a clear advantage, although their away match difficulties and Rotherham's solid home form in recent matches (wdwldwdwdllldw) make a draw a realistic scenario as well.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rotherham United | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cardiff City is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Rotherham United · 1.8 pts / match - Cardiff City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff City is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Rotherham United · 1.79 goals / match - Cardiff City
Cardiff City is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Rotherham United · 1 goals / match - Cardiff City
Rotherham United scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
Cardiff City scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rotherham United
Over / Under - Cardiff City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cardiff City is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Rotherham United · 1.41 pts / match - Cardiff City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rotherham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cardiff City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rotherham United
Cardiff City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Rotherham United | Liga | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.54 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 68% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rotherham United 0 - 0 - 1 Cardiff City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rotherham United vs Cardiff City?
The EFL League One match finished Rotherham United 0:3 Cardiff City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rotherham United vs Cardiff City?
Rotherham United score 1.11 goals per game on average and Cardiff City 1.79. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Rotherham United's matches and 55% of Cardiff City's.
What form are Rotherham United and Cardiff City in?
Over the last 5 games Rotherham United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cardiff City 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rotherham United vs Cardiff City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rotherham United vs Cardiff City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.