Rotherham United vs Doncaster Rovers: match statistics
Rotherham United performs significantly better at home, where they achieve 33% wins with a balanced record (33% draws and 33% losses). The hosts score an average of 1.2 goals per home match and concede 1.47, giving them a slight advantage over the visitors. Doncaster Rovers have a very poor away form – only 25% wins on the road, 63% losses, and as many as 50% of matches without scoring a goal. The visitors score only 0.81 goals on average away from home while conceding 1.81, confirming their difficulties in matches played away from their own stadium. Considering the goal difference (-4 for the hosts in home matches compared to -16 for the guests in away matches) and the recent form of both teams (identical PPG 1.4, but Rotherham's superior home metrics), the advantage lies with the hosts, although it is not a certain victory.
Rotherham United vs Doncaster Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rotherham United played Doncaster Rovers in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Rotherham United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Doncaster Rovers: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rotherham United scores 1.03 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Doncaster Rovers scores 1.10 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rotherham United 47%, Doncaster Rovers 52%. Over 2.5: Rotherham United 57%, Doncaster Rovers 52%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Doncaster Rovers has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.21. Rotherham United: 10.4 shots per match, Doncaster Rovers: 12.3.
Match halves
Rotherham United: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.67. Doncaster Rovers: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Rotherham United: 46-60 (7 goals). Doncaster Rovers: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rotherham United performs significantly better at home, where they achieve 33% wins with a balanced record (33% draws and 33% losses). The hosts score an average of 1.2 goals per home match and concede 1.47, giving them a slight advantage over the visitors. Doncaster Rovers have a very poor away form – only 25% wins on the road, 63% losses, and as many as 50% of matches without scoring a goal. The visitors score only 0.81 goals on average away from home while conceding 1.81, confirming their difficulties in matches played away from their own stadium. Considering the goal difference (-4 for the hosts in home matches compared to -16 for the guests in away matches) and the recent form of both teams (identical PPG 1.4, but Rotherham's superior home metrics), the advantage lies with the hosts, although it is not a certain victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rotherham United | Doncaster Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Doncaster Rovers is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Rotherham United · 1.8 pts / match - Doncaster Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Doncaster Rovers is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Rotherham United · 1.1 goals / match - Doncaster Rovers
Rotherham United is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Rotherham United · 1.61 goals / match - Doncaster Rovers
Rotherham United scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Doncaster Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
Doncaster Rovers scores in 71% of matches (22 of 31 matches), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rotherham United
Over / Under - Doncaster Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Doncaster Rovers is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Rotherham United · 1.35 pts / match - Doncaster Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rotherham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Doncaster Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rotherham United
Doncaster Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Rotherham United | Liga | Doncaster Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 69% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rotherham United 0 - 0 - 1 Doncaster Rovers. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rotherham United vs Doncaster Rovers?
The EFL League One match finished Rotherham United 1:2 Doncaster Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rotherham United vs Doncaster Rovers?
Rotherham United score 1.03 goals per game on average and Doncaster Rovers 1.10. The EFL League One average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Rotherham United's matches and 52% of Doncaster Rovers's.
What form are Rotherham United and Doncaster Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Rotherham United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Doncaster Rovers 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rotherham United vs Doncaster Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.