Rotherham United vs Northampton Town: match statistics
Rotherham United, despite a difficult run of form in the last five matches (0 wins), presents solid statistics at home with a goal difference of -2 and 31% of home matches won. Northampton Town has very weak results away (23% wins, 62% losses) and the worst FTS% at 54%, indicating frequent problems scoring goals. The hosts possess an advantage in the average number of shots on target (3.92 vs 2.54) and a better conversion rate (11% vs 8%). Northampton concedes an average of 1.54 goals away with an xGA of 1.67, which, given Rotherham's expected goals (xGF 1.35), suggests a chance for the hosts to score. Considering the home field advantage and significantly better offensive statistics for Rotherham in home matches, the hosts have a real chance to break their bad streak, although the weak form of recent weeks and defensive problems of both teams could also lead to a draw.
Rotherham United vs Northampton Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rotherham United played Northampton Town in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Rotherham United: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Northampton Town: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rotherham United scores 0.96 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Northampton Town scores 0.88 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rotherham United 50%, Northampton Town 38%. Over 2.5: Rotherham United 54%, Northampton Town 38%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Rotherham United has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.11. Rotherham United: 10.0 shots per match, Northampton Town: 9.0.
Match halves
Rotherham United: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.58. Northampton Town: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Rotherham United: 46-60 (6 goals). Northampton Town: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rotherham United, despite a difficult run of form in the last five matches (0 wins), presents solid statistics at home with a goal difference of -2 and 31% of home matches won. Northampton Town has very weak results away (23% wins, 62% losses) and the worst FTS% at 54%, indicating frequent problems scoring goals. The hosts possess an advantage in the average number of shots on target (3.92 vs 2.54) and a better conversion rate (11% vs 8%). Northampton concedes an average of 1.54 goals away with an xGA of 1.67, which, given Rotherham's expected goals (xGF 1.35), suggests a chance for the hosts to score. Considering the home field advantage and significantly better offensive statistics for Rotherham in home matches, the hosts have a real chance to break their bad streak, although the weak form of recent weeks and defensive problems of both teams could also lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rotherham United | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Northampton Town is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Rotherham United · 0.4 pts / match - Northampton Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rotherham United is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Rotherham United · 0.88 goals / match - Northampton Town
Northampton Town is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Rotherham United · 1.23 goals / match - Northampton Town
Rotherham United scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Northampton Town keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
Northampton Town scores in 58% of matches (15 of 26 matches), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rotherham United
Over / Under - Northampton Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rotherham United is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Rotherham United · 0.77 pts / match - Northampton Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rotherham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 23%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Northampton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rotherham United
Northampton Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Rotherham United | Liga | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.46 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.12 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 68% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 81% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rotherham United 1 - 0 - 0 Northampton Town. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rotherham United vs Northampton Town?
The EFL League One match finished Rotherham United 2:1 Northampton Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rotherham United vs Northampton Town?
Rotherham United score 0.96 goals per game on average and Northampton Town 0.88. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Rotherham United's matches and 38% of Northampton Town's.
What form are Rotherham United and Northampton Town in?
Over the last 5 games Rotherham United have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Northampton Town 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rotherham United vs Northampton Town?
The statistical background for Rotherham United vs Northampton Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.