Rotherham United vs Plymouth Argyle: match statistics
Plymouth Argyle shows significantly better form with 1.8 points per game in the last five matches compared to just 0.6 points for Rotherham United. The hosts sit in 23rd place and have lost four of their last five games, while the visitors are ranked 11th and have won three of their last five. Plymouth demonstrates a clear advantage in away matches with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4), whereas Rotherham has a negative record at home (-5) and only a 31% win rate. Higher shooting efficiency for Plymouth (14% vs 10%) and a better average of goals scored (1.69 vs 1.19) further support the prediction of an away victory. Considering all statistics, Plymouth Argyle has a realistic chance of securing three points in this clash.
Rotherham United vs Plymouth Argyle: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rotherham United played Plymouth Argyle in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Rotherham United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Plymouth Argyle: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rotherham United scores 1.00 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Plymouth Argyle scores 1.48 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rotherham United 47%, Plymouth Argyle 48%. Over 2.5: Rotherham United 56%, Plymouth Argyle 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Plymouth Argyle has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.19. Rotherham United: 10.3 shots per match, Plymouth Argyle: 12.7.
Match halves
Rotherham United: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.63. Plymouth Argyle: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Rotherham United: 46-60 (7 goals). Plymouth Argyle: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Plymouth Argyle shows significantly better form with 1.8 points per game in the last five matches compared to just 0.6 points for Rotherham United. The hosts sit in 23rd place and have lost four of their last five games, while the visitors are ranked 11th and have won three of their last five. Plymouth demonstrates a clear advantage in away matches with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4), whereas Rotherham has a negative record at home (-5) and only a 31% win rate. Higher shooting efficiency for Plymouth (14% vs 10%) and a better average of goals scored (1.69 vs 1.19) further support the prediction of an away victory. Considering all statistics, Plymouth Argyle has a realistic chance of securing three points in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rotherham United | Plymouth Argyle | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Plymouth Argyle is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Rotherham United · 1.8 pts / match - Plymouth Argyle
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Plymouth Argyle is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Rotherham United · 1.48 goals / match - Plymouth Argyle
Rotherham United scores in 63% of matches (20 of 32 matches), while Plymouth Argyle keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
Plymouth Argyle scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rotherham United
Over / Under - Plymouth Argyle
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Plymouth Argyle is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Rotherham United · 1.36 pts / match - Plymouth Argyle
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rotherham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Plymouth Argyle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rotherham United
Plymouth Argyle
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Rotherham United | Liga | Plymouth Argyle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 51% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rotherham United 0 - 0 - 1 Plymouth Argyle. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rotherham United vs Plymouth Argyle?
The EFL League One match finished Rotherham United 1:0 Plymouth Argyle. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rotherham United vs Plymouth Argyle?
Rotherham United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Plymouth Argyle 1.48. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Rotherham United's matches and 48% of Plymouth Argyle's.
What form are Rotherham United and Plymouth Argyle in?
Over the last 5 games Rotherham United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Plymouth Argyle 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rotherham United vs Plymouth Argyle?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.