France - NationalData current as of 03 November 2026

Rouen vs Bastia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Rouen vs Bastia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Rouen play Bastia in National (France). The match date is 7 November 2026.

Current form

Rouen: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Bastia: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Rouen scores 1.82 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Bastia scores 0.91 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Rouen 45%, Bastia 36%. Over 2.5: Rouen 55%, Bastia 18%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.

xG, shots and style

Rouen has higher xG: 1.46 vs 0.86. Rouen: 13.1 shots per match, Bastia: 7.7.

Match halves

Rouen: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 0.82. Bastia: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.45.

Goals by minute

Rouen: 31-45+ (6 goals). Bastia: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.64)
(3.60)
(4.70)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.82Goals scored / match0.91
RouenBastia
0.82Goals conceded / match1.09
RouenBastia
48%Average possession46%
RouenBastia
5Shots on target / match2.55
RouenBastia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.09Shots per match7.73
RouenBastia
5Shots on target2.55
RouenBastia
13.9%Shot conversion11.8%
RouenBastia
48%Possession46%
RouenBastia
1.46xG for0.86
RouenBastia
1.09xG against1.43
RouenBastia

Shooting quality

Rouen: Efficient finishingBastia: Balanced
RouenBastia
Accuracy (shots on target)38%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rouen is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Rouen · 1.2 pts / match - Bastia

Rouen
WLWLW
Season result split
64% W18% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-2
2.09 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Bastia
DLDDW
Season result split
36% W27% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-4
1.36 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.77Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rouen is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

1.82 goals / match - Rouen · 0.91 goals / match - Bastia

Rouen is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.82 goals / match - Rouen · 1.09 goals / match - Bastia

Rouen scoring profile: very strong

Rouen scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

Bastia scoring profile: mixed

Bastia scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Rouen keeps a clean sheet in 55% (6 of 11 matches).

20Goals scored (season)10
RouenBastia
9Goals conceded (season)12
RouenBastia
2.64Average goals in match2
RouenBastia
8Goals scored (last 5)5
RouenBastia
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
RouenBastia

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal73%
RouenBastia
64%2 goals18%
RouenBastia
18%3 goals0%
RouenBastia
9%4 goals0%
RouenBastia

How often they concede at least...

45%1 goal64%
RouenBastia
18%2 goals27%
RouenBastia
18%3 goals18%
RouenBastia
0%4 goals0%
RouenBastia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
RouenBastia
0%BTTS in both halves9%
RouenBastia
45%Scored in both halves9%
RouenBastia

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS9%
RouenBastia
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
RouenBastia
60%BTTS - last 560%
RouenBastia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
RouenBastia
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
RouenBastia
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
RouenBastia

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time55%
RouenBastia
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
RouenBastia
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
RouenBastia

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rouen is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.18 pts / match - Rouen · 1.18 pts / match - Bastia

Rouen - half-time state
64% leading27% draw9% trailing
Bastia - half-time state
27% leading36% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.18Points per match (1st half)1.18
RouenBastia
1Goals scored (1st half)0.45
RouenBastia
0.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
RouenBastia
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.09
RouenBastia
82%Clean sheet before half-time55%
RouenBastia
27%No goal before half-time55%
RouenBastia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.73Points per match (2nd half)1
RouenBastia
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.45
RouenBastia
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
RouenBastia
1.27Average goals (2nd half)0.91
RouenBastia
73%Clean sheet after half-time55%
RouenBastia
36%No goal after half-time64%
RouenBastia

Rouen - second-half results

45% W36% D18% L
24
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bastia - second-half results

9% W73% D18% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rouen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Bastia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Rouen
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
6
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
4
61-75
6
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Bastia
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.32
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Rouen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Bastia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).

Teams vs league

RouenLigaBastia
Average goals in match▲ 2.642.43▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 45%49%▼ 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 55%41%▼ 18%
Clean sheets▲ 55%29%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%71%▲ 73%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%76%▼ 55%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
1.05
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Rouen and Bastia play?

Rouen face Bastia on 7 November 2026 in National. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Rouen vs Bastia?

Rouen score 1.82 goals per game on average and Bastia 0.91. The National average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Rouen's matches and 36% of Bastia's.

What form are Rouen and Bastia in?

Over the last 5 games Rouen have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Bastia 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rouen vs Bastia?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rouen vs Bastia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.