Royal Antwerp FC vs Sint-Truiden: match statistics

Royal Antwerp are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while Sint-Truiden have suffered one defeat during this period and have averaged fewer points per game: 1.6 compared with 2.2. At home, the hosts average 3 goals scored with an xG of 1.95, while their 17 shots per match indicate greater consistency in chance creation than their opponents’ 13 attempts. Sint-Truiden also average 3 goals away from home and register 7 shots on target per match, so their chances of scoring remain high. However, the key argument in favour of Antwerp is the visitors’ poor defensive performance away from home, where they allow an xG of 2.63 and concede an average of 3 goals, with a clean-sheet rate of zero. Neither team has kept a clean sheet in these conditions, making a home win with both teams scoring the most likely outcome.

The signal for BTTS - Yes is clear, as both teams have recorded this outcome in 100% of their matches in the current campaign, and neither has kept a clean sheet. Antwerp create a high volume of chances at home, averaging 3.03 xG and 32 shots per match, while Sint-Truiden allow opponents an average xG of 2.63 away from home and concede 3.0 goals on average. The visitors also have strong attacking arguments: they score an average of 3.0 goals away from home, register 7 shots on target and generate 1.48 xG, while Antwerp’s defence allows 0.99 xG. In their last five matches, both teams have produced BTTS in 60% of cases, scoring an average of 2.4 and 1.8 goals respectively and conceding 1.2 and 1.4. Although the league BTTS average is only 50%, the combination of strong attacking output from both sides and the lack of clean sheets points towards a goal for each team.

Both teams have created plenty of chances in their last five matches: Royal Antwerp averaged 1.78 xG, while Sint-Truiden recorded 1.74 xG. During this period, the hosts scored 2.4 goals per game and conceded 1.2, whereas the visitors scored 1.8 and conceded 1.4. At least 3 goals were scored in 60% of each team’s last five matches, while the league average is a high 3.29 goals per game. Furthermore, all previous matches involving both teams in the competition have produced at least 2 goals, which is why Over 1.5 goals has the strongest statistical backing.

A draw at half-time followed by a Royal Antwerp win is the most likely outcome, as the hosts have scored only 0.6 goals per match before the break in their last five games, compared with 0.8 for Sint-Truiden. After the interval, Antwerp’s advantage is more pronounced: they average 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while the visitors score 1.0 and also concede 0.6. The hosts also boast very strong chance-quality metrics, with an average xG of 3.03 compared with the opponents’ 1.48, while Sint-Truiden’s defence allows an average xG of 2.63. The five-match form further favours Antwerp: a 60% win rate with no defeats, compared with 40% wins and 20% defeats for the visitors. The X/1 scenario best combines a more cautious first half with the hosts’ growing advantage after the break.