Royal Antwerp FC vs Waasland-Beveren: match statistics

Waasland-Beveren are in significantly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and collected 12 points in that period, while Royal Antwerp FC have managed just 5 points. The visitors scored 11 goals during this run, averaging 2.2 per match, compared with only 3 goals for the hosts, highlighting a clear difference in attacking efficiency. Antwerp have lost 2 of their last five matches and have a goal difference of 3:5, whereas Waasland-Beveren, despite conceding 6 goals, still have a positive 11:6 goal difference. The hosts’ position—11th in the table—is better than the visitors’ 17th place, but the current results trend and significantly higher attacking output favour an away win. The lack of detailed season data from home and away matches limits the weight assigned to home advantage, so a draw remains a realistic alternative.

The strongest signal against BTTS - Yes comes from Royal Antwerp’s poor attacking output: in their last 5 matches, the team scored just 3 goals, averaging 0.6 per game, while both teams scored in only 20% of those fixtures. Waasland-Beveren are in considerably better scoring form, recording 11 goals and averaging 2.2 goals across their last 5 matches, so the visitors have a clear chance of finding the net. At the same time, their defence concedes just 1.2 goals and 1.02 xG per game on average, while Antwerp, despite an xG of 1.43, are failing to convert their chances into goals. BTTS - Yes landed in 60% of the visitors’ last five matches, but the disparity between their attacking efficiency and Antwerp’s average of just 0.6 goals primarily points towards a scenario in which the hosts fail to score.

Data from the last 5 matches points to a clearly stronger Waasland-Beveren attack: the visitors averaged 2.2 goals, while Royal Antwerp scored only 0.6. Antwerp allowed opponents an xG of 1.84, whereas Waasland-Beveren generated 1.37 xG, supporting the expectation of at least one goal for the visitors. At the same time, the hosts scored just 3 goals across those five matches, while Waasland-Beveren conceded an average of 1.2 goals and allowed 1.02 xG. The visitors saw 80% of their matches go Over 2.5 goals, but this occurred in only 20% of the hosts’ games. Therefore, the most reliable selection is Under 3.5 goals, with a projected total of 2.55 goals.

The data from the last five matches clearly favor Waasland-Beveren: the visitors won four games, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding just 1.2, while Antwerp won only once and averaged 0.6 goals scored. Antwerp were trailing at half-time in 60% of these matches, scored just 0.2 goals per game before the break, and had a negative goal difference of -3. Waasland-Beveren were never behind at half-time, kept a clean sheet in the first half in 100% of the analyzed matches, and won each of the five second halves after the restart. The visitors were also significantly more effective after the break, averaging 1.67 goals compared with Antwerp’s 0.4, making a Waasland-Beveren lead at the break followed by a full-time victory the most likely HT/FT outcome.