RSC Anderlecht vs Sint-Truiden: match statistics
RSC Anderlecht vs Sint-Truiden: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
RSC Anderlecht played Sint-Truiden in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 21 May 2026. Venue: Lotto Park. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
RSC Anderlecht: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Sint-Truiden: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
RSC Anderlecht scores 1.45 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Sint-Truiden scores 1.50 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: RSC Anderlecht 55%, Sint-Truiden 55%. Over 2.5: RSC Anderlecht 50%, Sint-Truiden 53%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
RSC Anderlecht has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.59. RSC Anderlecht: 14.6 shots per match, Sint-Truiden: 13.9.
Match halves
RSC Anderlecht: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.89. Sint-Truiden: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
RSC Anderlecht: 76-90+ (14 goals). Sint-Truiden: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Sint-Truiden to win (2): the visitors have a clear advantage in form and league position — they sit 3rd versus Anderlecht in 6th, have won 21 matches this season versus the hosts' 14, and in their last 5 fixtures recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (2.0 points per game) while Anderlecht have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in five (0.4 points per game). The visitors scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches versus the hosts' 6, and have 57 goals this season compared to Anderlecht's 55; finishing efficiency is 12% for Sint-Truiden and 10% for Anderlecht. Anderlecht are strong at home — average home xG is 1.84 with 16.26 shots and 5.63 shots on target per game, and only 16% of their home matches end goalless, versus 37% of away matches for the visitors ending without a goal. Defensively Sint-Truiden have a better goals-against record this season (43 vs 56), concede 1.05 goals per away game while the hosts concede 1.21 at home; interestingly, xG against is 1.18 for the hosts at home and 1.47 for the visitors on the road. Considering the visitors' superior efficiency and form versus Anderlecht's ability to create chances at home, I expect a narrow Sint-Truiden victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates a bias toward BTTS - Yes: season BTTS rates are 58% for RSC Anderlecht and 53% for Sint‑Truiden, versus a league average of 54%. The signal is reinforced by form: Anderlecht had BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches (6 scored, 12 conceded), while Sint‑Truiden have 60% in their last 5 and scored 9 goals in those five games, so both sides are regularly scoring. Anderlecht generates xG 1.74 and averages 4.89 shots on target per match, whereas Sint‑Truiden have xG 1.43 and 3.95 SOT; additionally Sint‑Truiden concede on average 1.05 goals per match this season, which supports goals for both teams. Clean sheet percentages show Sint‑Truiden keep only 16% clean sheets and Anderlecht 32%, implying a low probability of a No Goal outcome. Considering season 58%/53%, recent 100%/60%, higher Anderlecht xG 1.74 vs 1.43 and low clean sheet rates, I tip BTTS - Yes (75%) vs No (25%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The expected goals from xG confrontation are high: Anderlecht has xG for 1.74 vs opponents’ xG-against 1.47, implying ~1.61 goals for the home side, and Sint‑Truiden has xG for 1.43 vs the home side’s xG-against 1.36 → ~1.39 goals, totaling 3.00. With a mean of 3.00 the Poisson distribution yields ~80% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~58% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~35% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Season figures confirm this picture: both teams have 79% of matches with over 1.5 goals, and the >2.5 rate is 58% for Anderlecht and 47% for Sint‑Truiden. Additionally, both sides create chances (on average 4.89 and 3.95 shots on target) and in 58%/53% of matches both teams score, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: back Over at the 1.5 line) due to high probability and alignment with xG and seasonal trends.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Anderlecht led at half-time in 9 matches (47% of the season), while Sint‑Truiden were leading at the break in only 3 (16%), strongly favoring the home side at Half-Time. The hosts average 0.68 goals by the break versus 0.58 for the visitors, have higher xG 1.74 vs 1.43 and more shots 15.26 vs 12.47 and more shots on target 4.89 vs 3.95, which confirms their attacking superiority. Anderlecht win 63% of matches with an HTPPG of 1.74 versus 1.05 for Sint‑Truiden, so I expect the lead at the break to be maintained and converted into a home victory. The visitors, however, score on average 0.89 goals in the second half versus 0.84 for the hosts, and the hosts concede 0.74 goals in the second half versus 0.47 for Sint‑Truiden, so I also assign a moderate probability to a draw at half-time and a possible turnaround. The strongest signal from the data points to HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| RSC Anderlecht | Sint-Truiden | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sint-Truiden is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - RSC Anderlecht · 2 pts / match - Sint-Truiden
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sint-Truiden is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - RSC Anderlecht · 1.13 goals / match - Sint-Truiden
RSC Anderlecht scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Sint-Truiden keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Sint-Truiden scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while RSC Anderlecht keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RSC Anderlecht
Over / Under - Sint-Truiden
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sint-Truiden is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - RSC Anderlecht · 1.39 pts / match - Sint-Truiden
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RSC Anderlecht - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sint-Truiden - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
RSC Anderlecht
Sint-Truiden
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| RSC Anderlecht | Liga | Sint-Truiden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.66 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 54% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): RSC Anderlecht 1 - 1 - 1 Sint-Truiden. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of RSC Anderlecht vs Sint-Truiden?
The Pro League match finished RSC Anderlecht 3:1 Sint-Truiden. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between RSC Anderlecht and Sint-Truiden?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches RSC Anderlecht won 1, Sint-Truiden won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before RSC Anderlecht vs Sint-Truiden?
RSC Anderlecht score 1.45 goals per game on average and Sint-Truiden 1.50. The Pro League average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 55% of RSC Anderlecht's matches and 55% of Sint-Truiden's.
What form are RSC Anderlecht and Sint-Truiden in?
Over the last 5 games RSC Anderlecht have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Sint-Truiden 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RSC Anderlecht vs Sint-Truiden?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.