Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Warszawa: match statistics
Ruch Chorzów demonstrate impressive form at their home ground with a 64% win rate in home matches and a +9 goal difference, making them the clear favorite for this fixture. The hosts score an average of 1.91 goals per home game, exceeding their xG (1.67), which indicates clinical finishing in front of goal. Polonia Warszawa, despite good form in their last five matches (2.2 points per game), have clear issues away from home – 50% draws and 0% clean sheets point to defensive frailties. A key factor is Ruch's advantage in possession (52% vs 48%) and their superior shooting efficiency in home matches. Considering all statistics, I expect a closely contested match with a slight home advantage, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to Polonia's tendency to share points on the road.
Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Warszawa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ruch Chorzów played Polonia Warszawa in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Ruch Chorzów: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Polonia Warszawa: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ruch Chorzów scores 1.52 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Polonia Warszawa scores 1.62 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ruch Chorzów 71%, Polonia Warszawa 76%. Over 2.5: Ruch Chorzów 67%, Polonia Warszawa 57%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Polonia Warszawa has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.59. Ruch Chorzów: 13.8 shots per match, Polonia Warszawa: 14.0.
Match halves
Ruch Chorzów: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.62. Polonia Warszawa: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Ruch Chorzów: 31-45+ (8 goals). Polonia Warszawa: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ruch Chorzów demonstrate impressive form at their home ground with a 64% win rate in home matches and a +9 goal difference, making them the clear favorite for this fixture. The hosts score an average of 1.91 goals per home game, exceeding their xG (1.67), which indicates clinical finishing in front of goal. Polonia Warszawa, despite good form in their last five matches (2.2 points per game), have clear issues away from home – 50% draws and 0% clean sheets point to defensive frailties. A key factor is Ruch's advantage in possession (52% vs 48%) and their superior shooting efficiency in home matches. Considering all statistics, I expect a closely contested match with a slight home advantage, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to Polonia's tendency to share points on the road.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ruch Chorzów | Polonia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Polonia Warszawa is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Ruch Chorzów · 2.2 pts / match - Polonia Warszawa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polonia Warszawa is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Ruch Chorzów · 1.62 goals / match - Polonia Warszawa
Ruch Chorzów scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Polonia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Polonia Warszawa scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Ruch Chorzów keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ruch Chorzów
Over / Under - Polonia Warszawa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ruch Chorzów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Polonia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ruch Chorzów
Polonia Warszawa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ruch Chorzów | Liga | Polonia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.95 | 3.03 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 19% | 19% | • 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ruch Chorzów 0 - 1 - 0 Polonia Warszawa. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Warszawa?
The 1. Liga match finished Ruch Chorzów 2:3 Polonia Warszawa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Warszawa?
Ruch Chorzów score 1.52 goals per game on average and Polonia Warszawa 1.62. The 1. Liga average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Ruch Chorzów's matches and 76% of Polonia Warszawa's.
What form are Ruch Chorzów and Polonia Warszawa in?
Over the last 5 games Ruch Chorzów have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Polonia Warszawa 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Warszawa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.