Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Mielec: match statistics
Ruch Chorzów presents a definitely better home form with a 58% win rate and a positive +8 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.92 goals per home match while conceding only 1.25 goals, which proves a solid defense. Stal Mielec has very poor away results - a 58% defeat rate, a negative goal difference of -11, and an average of 2.25 goals conceded per match. Ruch's advantage in xG (1.66 vs 1.43 for the visitors) and ball possession (52% vs 50%) additionally supports the thesis of a home win. Although both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG), home and away statistics clearly favor Ruch Chorzów, although Stal's experience in scoring goals may make the match more even than the overall numbers indicate.
Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Mielec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ruch Chorzów played Stal Mielec in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ruch Chorzów: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Stal Mielec: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ruch Chorzów scores 1.50 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Stal Mielec scores 1.29 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ruch Chorzów 67%, Stal Mielec 67%. Over 2.5: Ruch Chorzów 63%, Stal Mielec 67%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Ruch Chorzów has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.48. Ruch Chorzów: 13.7 shots per match, Stal Mielec: 12.8.
Match halves
Ruch Chorzów: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.71. Stal Mielec: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Ruch Chorzów: 31-45+ (8 goals). Stal Mielec: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ruch Chorzów presents a definitely better home form with a 58% win rate and a positive +8 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.92 goals per home match while conceding only 1.25 goals, which proves a solid defense. Stal Mielec has very poor away results - a 58% defeat rate, a negative goal difference of -11, and an average of 2.25 goals conceded per match. Ruch's advantage in xG (1.66 vs 1.43 for the visitors) and ball possession (52% vs 50%) additionally supports the thesis of a home win. Although both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG), home and away statistics clearly favor Ruch Chorzów, although Stal's experience in scoring goals may make the match more even than the overall numbers indicate.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ruch Chorzów | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ruch Chorzów is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Ruch Chorzów · 1.29 goals / match - Stal Mielec
Ruch Chorzów is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Ruch Chorzów · 2 goals / match - Stal Mielec
Ruch Chorzów scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
Stal Mielec scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Ruch Chorzów keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ruch Chorzów
Over / Under - Stal Mielec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ruch Chorzów is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Ruch Chorzów · 1.08 pts / match - Stal Mielec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ruch Chorzów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stal Mielec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ruch Chorzów
Stal Mielec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ruch Chorzów | Liga | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.88 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 20% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ruch Chorzów 0 - 1 - 0 Stal Mielec. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Mielec?
The 1. Liga match finished Ruch Chorzów 2:1 Stal Mielec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Mielec?
Ruch Chorzów score 1.50 goals per game on average and Stal Mielec 1.29. The 1. Liga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ruch Chorzów's matches and 67% of Stal Mielec's.
What form are Ruch Chorzów and Stal Mielec in?
Over the last 5 games Ruch Chorzów have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Stal Mielec 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Mielec?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.