Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice: match statistics

Ruch Chorzów sit higher in the table, in 12th place compared with Unia Skierniewice in 16th, and have collected 10 points from their last five matches, thanks to 3 wins and a draw. The hosts have conceded only 3 goals during this period, while Unia have allowed 6 goals in their last five games. At home, Ruch create a high volume of chances, averaging 21 shots and an xG of 2.16 per match—clearly more than Unia’s away xG of 1.16. The main concern for the Chorzów side is their finishing, as despite creating these opportunities, they average only 0.5 goals at home and have failed to score in 50% of such matches. Unia score an average of once per away game and convert their shots more efficiently, but their defence concedes 1.5 goals per match with an against xG of 1.61, which is why a slight advantage remains with the hosts.

The strongest signal points to at least one team failing to score, as BTTS occurred in only 20% of Ruch’s last 5 matches and likewise in 20% of Unia’s games. Ruch scores just 0.75 goals per match this season and failed to score in 50% of its appearances, while its seasonal BTTS rate stands at only 25%, well below the league average of 52%. The hosts have also been considerably more solid defensively in their recent form, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals across their last five matches, compared with Unia’s 1.2. Unia has attacking potential, reflected in an xG of 1.77 over its last five matches, but Ruch allowed opponents an xG of 1.51 during that period. Therefore, a clean sheet for one of the teams is more likely than goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS - No / No Goal selection. This does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw; it means that at least one team is expected not to score.

The latest results point to a controlled goal profile: Ruch have scored 5 goals and conceded only 3 in their last five matches, averaging 1.6 total goals per game. Over the same period, Unia averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while only 40% of their games went over the 2.5-goal line. Ruch have not had a single match with at least 3 goals in their last five appearances, and both teams scored in just 20% of the matches in this run. Although the average xG figures for both teams suggest an attacking potential of around 1.6-1.8, their actual finishing efficiency remains limited, giving Under 3.5 a clear edge.

The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Ruch victory, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 40% of their last five matches and conceded just 0.2 goals per game before the break. The first halves of both teams are usually tight: Ruch average 0.6 goals in the opening 45 minutes, while Unia also average 0.6, and neither team has seen both sides score before half-time in any of their last five matches. After the break, however, Ruch have been in better overall form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches and averaging 2.0 points per game, compared with Unia’s 1.4. The hosts also possess a clear creative edge, recording an xG of 1.64 and 4.75 shots on target per match, whereas Unia register 1.16 xG and 3.5 shots on target. The visitors have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game across their last five appearances, increasing the likelihood of Ruch deciding an even contest after half-time.