Rudar Prijedor vs Velež: match statistics
Velež shows decidedly better form in their last five matches with a record of 4 wins and an average of 2.4 points per game, while Rudar Prijedor earns only 1.2 points. The hosts occupy 9th place in the table with a very poor home record (27% win rate, 45% loss rate) and a negative home goal difference of -6. Despite away struggles (50% loss rate), Velež demonstrates higher shooting efficiency (13% shot conversion vs 9% for the hosts) and better xG statistics (1.09 vs 1.16 for the hosts). A key factor is also that Rudar failed to score in 27% of their home matches, which, combined with the visitors' solid defense in recent fixtures (only 2 goals conceded in 5 games), strongly favors a Velež win. League position (4th for the visitors vs 9th for the hosts) and the overall season record (10 wins for Velež vs 4 for Rudar) additionally support this prediction.
Rudar Prijedor vs Velež: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rudar Prijedor played Velež in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Rudar Prijedor: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Velež: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rudar Prijedor scores 0.71 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Velež scores 0.88 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rudar Prijedor 42%, Velež 33%. Over 2.5: Rudar Prijedor 38%, Velež 29%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Velež has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.07. Rudar Prijedor: 8.4 shots per match, Velež: 10.1.
Match halves
Rudar Prijedor: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.46. Velež: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Rudar Prijedor: 31-45+ (4 goals). Velež: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.15 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Velež shows decidedly better form in their last five matches with a record of 4 wins and an average of 2.4 points per game, while Rudar Prijedor earns only 1.2 points. The hosts occupy 9th place in the table with a very poor home record (27% win rate, 45% loss rate) and a negative home goal difference of -6. Despite away struggles (50% loss rate), Velež demonstrates higher shooting efficiency (13% shot conversion vs 9% for the hosts) and better xG statistics (1.09 vs 1.16 for the hosts). A key factor is also that Rudar failed to score in 27% of their home matches, which, combined with the visitors' solid defense in recent fixtures (only 2 goals conceded in 5 games), strongly favors a Velež win. League position (4th for the visitors vs 9th for the hosts) and the overall season record (10 wins for Velež vs 4 for Rudar) additionally support this prediction.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rudar Prijedor | Velež | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Velež is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Rudar Prijedor · 1.4 pts / match - Velež
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Velež is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Rudar Prijedor · 0.88 goals / match - Velež
Velež is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Rudar Prijedor · 0.88 goals / match - Velež
Rudar Prijedor scores in 54% of matches (13 of 24 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
Velež scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Rudar Prijedor keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rudar Prijedor
Over / Under - Velež
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Velež is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Rudar Prijedor · 1.04 pts / match - Velež
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rudar Prijedor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Velež - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rudar Prijedor
Velež
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Rudar Prijedor | Liga | Velež | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.13 | 2.15 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 37% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 38% | 37% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 38% | • 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▼ 46% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Rudar Prijedor 0 - 0 - 2 Velež. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rudar Prijedor vs Velež?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Rudar Prijedor 1:2 Velež. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rudar Prijedor and Velež?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rudar Prijedor won 0, Velež won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rudar Prijedor vs Velež?
Rudar Prijedor score 0.71 goals per game on average and Velež 0.88. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Rudar Prijedor's matches and 33% of Velež's.
What form are Rudar Prijedor and Velež in?
Over the last 5 games Rudar Prijedor have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Velež 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rudar Prijedor vs Velež?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rudar Prijedor vs Velež: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.