Rudar vs Ilirija: match statistics
Rudar vs Ilirija: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rudar played Ilirija in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Rudar: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ilirija: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rudar scores 1.64 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Ilirija scores 1.32 and concedes 1.91. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rudar 55%, Ilirija 77%. Over 2.5: Rudar 64%, Ilirija 64%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Ilirija has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.48. Rudar: 10.4 shots per match, Ilirija: 12.1.
Match halves
Rudar: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.68. Ilirija: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Rudar: 31-45+ (8 goals). Ilirija: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rudar is the match favorite — they sit 7th in the table while Ilirija are 14th, indicating a clear home advantage. At home Rudar average 1.91 goals scored and concede 1.09 with average xG 1.56, whereas Ilirija away score 1.36 and concede 1.91 with xG 1.57, so the visitors’ defense is noticeably more vulnerable. Despite similar xG (1.56 vs 1.57) the hosts are more efficient in finishing chances — shot conversion 17% vs 11% for Ilirija and on average 5 shots on target vs 4.91, translating into a higher goal output. In the last 5 matches Rudar have scored 12 goals (2.4 per game) and recorded 2 wins, while Ilirija have 8 goals and only 1 win; additionally Ilirija have a 55% loss rate away and just 9% win rate. Considering Rudar’s home form (win rate 36%, home goal difference +9 and 36% clean sheets) and Ilirija’s weaker away record (away goal difference -6, 55% losses), I assign 63% to a home win, 22% to a draw and 15% to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators are high: Rudar has 64% of matches with both teams scoring, while Ilirija has 91%, providing a strong basis for a 'both teams to score' scenario. Both sides average 1.27 (Rudar) and 1.36 (Ilirija) goals scored per match, while conceding an average of 1.91 goals each, meaning opponents have realistic chances to score. xG paints a similar picture: Rudar generates 1.74 xG and concedes 1.62 xG, Ilirija has 1.57 xG and concedes 1.61 xG — both teams create about 1.6–1.7 xG and simultaneously allow roughly 1.6 xG to opponents, which favors goal exchange. Additionally, average shots on target are 4.64 (Rudar) and 4.91 (Ilirija), and clean sheet percentages are only 18% and 9%, so the likelihood of a clean sheet is low. Considering the 64% vs 91% seasonal BTTS, low clean sheet rates and recent 5-match BTTS of 40% (Rudar) and 80% (Ilirija), I tip 'BTTS - Yes' with a probability of 78% versus 22% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Data indicate a relatively high-scoring match: Rudar have 91% of games over 1.5 goals, Ilirija 100%, and the league average is 2.81 goals per match. Home xG is 1.74 with opponent xG 1.61, away xG is 1.57 with opponent xG 1.62, translating to forecasted ~1.68 goals for the home side and ~1.60 for the away side (total 3.28). Both-teams-to-score percentage is 64% for Rudar and 91% for Ilirija (average 78%), and average shots 11.91 (home) and 12.09 (away) with shots on target 4.64 and 4.91 support the goal expectation. In the last 5 matches Rudar scored 12 goals (2.4 avg) and had Over 2.5 in 80% of games, Ilirija scored 8 goals (1.6 avg) and had Over 2.5 in 60% of games, which further strengthens the Over signal. Based on this I recommend the Over side, with Over 1.5 as the strongest line (estimated probability Over 1.5 = 95%, Over 2.5 = 70%, Over 3.5 = 38%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 because in the last five matches Rudar led at the break in 75% of games and averaged 1.5 goals by half-time, while Ilirija averaged 0.8 half-time goals in their last five. Rudar also has higher expected goals (xG) of 1.74 versus Ilirija’s 1.57 and a better season-long points-per-game average of 0.91 versus 0.64, indicating an advantage across the full 90 minutes. However, seasonal statistics are mixed: Rudar trailed at half-time in 60% of their season’s matches, and Ilirija has a very high share of both-teams-to-score matches — 91% — which raises the risk of a goal response from the visitors. Therefore, alongside 1/1 I assign meaningful probability to X/1 and X/X scenarios (both teams have 36% draws this season), but overall the strongest signal from the data points to the home team leading at half-time and winning at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rudar | Ilirija | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rudar is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Rudar · 1 pts / match - Ilirija
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rudar is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Rudar · 1.32 goals / match - Ilirija
Rudar is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Rudar · 1.91 goals / match - Ilirija
Rudar scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Ilirija keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
Ilirija scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Rudar keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rudar
Over / Under - Ilirija
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rudar is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Rudar · 1.14 pts / match - Ilirija
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rudar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ilirija - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rudar
Ilirija
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Rudar | Liga | Ilirija | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 49% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 53% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 81% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rudar 0 - 1 - 0 Ilirija. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rudar vs Ilirija?
The 2. SNL match finished Rudar 0:0 Ilirija. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rudar vs Ilirija?
Rudar score 1.64 goals per game on average and Ilirija 1.32. The 2. SNL average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Rudar's matches and 77% of Ilirija's.
What form are Rudar and Ilirija in?
Over the last 5 games Rudar have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ilirija 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rudar vs Ilirija?
The statistical background for Rudar vs Ilirija — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.