Rustavi vs Dinamo Batumi: match statistics

Rustavi are top of the home table and have won 82% of their matches on home soil, while Dinamo Batumi have won just 33% of their away fixtures. The hosts average 1.64 goals scored at home and have not recorded a goalless game, whereas the visitors have failed to score in 33% of their away appearances. Rustavi’s defence looks significantly more reliable: they concede just 0.64 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 64% of such fixtures, compared with Dinamo’s 1.33 goals conceded away from home. Both teams are in excellent current form, having each recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five matches, but Rustavi conceded only 2 goals during this period compared with Dinamo’s 4. The hosts’ slight advantage is primarily based on their very strong home record and greater defensive stability.

Over the course of the season, Rustavi have recorded both teams scoring in 64% of their matches, while Dinamo Batumi have done so in only 50%. Moreover, the last five meetings between the two sides produced BTTS in just 40% of cases. The strongest signal comes from their current defensive form: Rustavi have conceded only 2 goals in their last five matches, averaging 0.4, while Dinamo Batumi have allowed 4 goals, averaging 0.8. The hosts have been highly effective in attack, scoring 2.2 goals per match recently, while the visitors have scored as many as 2.8, which increases the likelihood of a one-sided result but does not guarantee that the opposition will score. Dinamo Batumi have failed to score in 33% of their league matches, while Rustavi have kept a clean sheet in 18%. Therefore, the more likely outcome is BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team will fail to score; this does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

Rustavi score an average of 1.91 goals per match, while Dinamo Batumi concede 1.33, which supports the expectation of at least one goal for the home side. The combined xG of both teams this season is around 2.69, with Rustavi generating 1.42 xG and Dinamo Batumi 1.27 xG per match. The 1.5 line was covered in 91% of Rustavi’s matches and 67% of Dinamo’s, while Over 2.5 goals landed in 82% and 58% of cases, respectively. Both teams are also in an attacking rhythm: Rustavi have averaged 2.2 goals in their last five matches, while Dinamo Batumi have scored as many as 2.8. Over 1.5 goals remains the safest option, as even the hosts’ strong recent defensive record, conceding only 0.4 goals per match, does not sufficiently reduce the high goal-scoring potential of both sides.

Dinamo Batumi start matches very strongly: they led at the break in 8 of their 12 league games this season, or 67%, including 4 of their last 5. The visitors have recently averaged 2.0 goals before half-time while conceding just 0.4, whereas Rustavi scored 1.0 first-half goal on average over the same period. Across the season, Batumi have also shown a solid defensive record before the break, allowing just 0.33 goals on average, which limits the hosts’ chances of quickly overturning a deficit. Although Rustavi have a better full-season home record, averaging 1.91 points per game compared with Dinamo’s 1.33 away from home, the visitors’ current form is highly convincing: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.8 goals in those games. The HT/FT scenario of Dinamo leading at half-time and securing the win is therefore the strongest, although Rustavi’s good run justifies a significant share of draw or turnaround outcomes.