Rustavi vs Saburtalo: match statistics
Rustavi vs Saburtalo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rustavi played Saburtalo in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Rustavi: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Saburtalo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rustavi scores 1.13 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Saburtalo scores 1.50 and concedes 0.63. League average: 2.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rustavi 50%, Saburtalo 38%. Over 2.5: Rustavi 50%, Saburtalo 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Rustavi has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.28. Rustavi: 11.8 shots per match, Saburtalo: 8.9.
Match halves
Rustavi: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.50. Saburtalo: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Rustavi: 0-15 (3 goals). Saburtalo: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.14 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Saburtalo are favorites based on form and goals scored: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals in that period, averaging 2.6 points per game compared to Rustavi’s 1.6. The hosts have strong home statistics — 67% home win rate, 1.67 goals per home game, only 0.67 goals conceded at home and clean sheets in 67% of home matches, with 0% of home games without scoring. Saburtalo are, however, more efficient in the opponent’s box: shot conversion rate 20% versus the hosts’ 14% and 12 goals this season against Rustavi’s 9. Chance statistics are similar — Rustavi averages 11.67 shots (4.67 on target) at home, while Saburtalo average 8.75 shots (4.25 on target); xG shows a slight edge for the hosts (1.46 vs 1.22), i.e. more created chances but lower finishing. Considering the visitors’ better form and efficiency combined with the hosts’ solid defensive conditions, I back a Saburtalo victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assign 60% to BTTS (Yes) and 40% to No Goal, because both teams have a 60% BTTS rate in their last 5 matches. Saburtalo averages 2.2 goals in the last five fixtures versus Rustavi's 1.4; in that period Saburtalo scored 11 goals and Rustavi 7, which increases the likelihood of Goal/Goal. Both sides concede an average of 0.8 goals in the last 5 matches, and Rustavi has a season xG_for of 1.33 vs xG_against_away 1.29, while Saburtalo has a season average goals scored of 1.75 and a conversion rate of 20%, so both teams have realistic scoring potential. Against this are season clean sheet rates of 50% for both teams and a high league clean sheet percentage of 70% and Saburtalo’s season BTTS at 25%, therefore certainty is not absolute and I give a moderate edge to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model incorporating seasonal xG (1.33 for Rustavi and 1.22 for Saburtalo) and form from the last 5 matches forecasts 1.37 xG for Rustavi and 1.32 xG for Saburtalo, totaling 2.69 expected goals. This is above the league average of 2.15 and consistent with recent results, where Rustavi averaged 1.4 goals per game and Saburtalo 2.2 goals in the last 5 rounds. Seasonal percentages show Saburtalo has over 1.5 in 75% of matches, Rustavi in 50%, and both teams exceed 2.5 in 50% of matches this season; in the last 5 matches the over 2.5 rates are 60% (Rustavi) and 80% (Saburtalo). A Poisson estimate for a mean of 2.69 yields roughly a 75% chance of over 1.5 goals, about 51% for Over 2.5 goals and only around 28% for Over 3.5 goals, therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Additionally, Saburtalo converts shots to goals more efficiently (20% vs 14%) and scored 11 goals in the last 5 matches compared to Rustavi’s 7, which increases the likelihood of goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select 2/2 (away team leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time) as the most likely scenario: Saburtalo led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and won 4 of their last 5 fixtures (80%), and have a 75% win rate this season. Despite a similar xG (1.33 for Rustavi vs 1.22 for Saburtalo), the visitors are more efficient — a shot conversion rate of 20% versus 14% for the hosts, with nearly identical shot volumes (9.0 vs 8.75) and 4.25 shots on target. Half-Time statistics further favor Saburtalo: over the last 5 matches they averaged 1.4 goals by the break compared to 0.6 for Rustavi, a cumulative Half-Time goal tally of 8 vs 3, and an average goals conceded before the break of only 0.2 for the away side. Saburtalo also perform better after the break — the goal difference in second halves is +2.0 for the visitors versus -1.0 for the hosts, and average points in second halves are 1.75 for Saburtalo vs 1.0 for Rustavi; therefore I assign the largest share of probability at 45% to 2/2, with a significant 15% to X/2 and 10% to 2/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rustavi | Saburtalo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Saburtalo is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Rustavi · 2.6 pts / match - Saburtalo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Saburtalo is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Rustavi · 1.5 goals / match - Saburtalo
Saburtalo is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Rustavi · 0.63 goals / match - Saburtalo
Rustavi scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Saburtalo keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
Saburtalo scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Rustavi keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rustavi
Over / Under - Saburtalo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rustavi is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.25 pts / match - Rustavi · 2 pts / match - Saburtalo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rustavi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Saburtalo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rustavi
Saburtalo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rustavi | Liga | Saburtalo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.88 | 2.14 | • 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 63% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Rustavi vs Saburtalo?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Rustavi 2:1 Saburtalo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rustavi vs Saburtalo?
Rustavi score 1.13 goals per game on average and Saburtalo 1.50. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Rustavi's matches and 38% of Saburtalo's.
What form are Rustavi and Saburtalo in?
Over the last 5 games Rustavi have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Saburtalo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rustavi vs Saburtalo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rustavi vs Saburtalo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.