Rutsiro vs Mukura: match statistics
Mukura presents decidedly better form than Rutsiro, confirmed by a streak of four victories in the last five matches and a high average of points per match (2.4 vs 1.4). The hosts are in 14th place in the table and have not won a single match at home this season (0% wins), conceding an average of 1.83 goals per match and keeping zero clean sheets. Mukura shows solid defense in away games, conceding just 0.86 goals per match and maintaining 29% clean sheets. The difference in goal difference (-5 for Rutsiro at home vs -1 for Mukura away) and the comparison in expected goals (xG 0.99 vs 1.29 for the hosts, but with significantly better efficiency from the visitors) speak in favor of a Mukura win. Given Rutsiro's catastrophic home run and the visitors' excellent recent form, a victory for the away team is predicted.
Rutsiro vs Mukura: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rutsiro played Mukura in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Rutsiro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mukura: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rutsiro scores 1.07 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Mukura scores 0.93 and concedes 0.79. League average: 1.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rutsiro 67%, Mukura 36%. Over 2.5: Rutsiro 47%, Mukura 14%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Rutsiro has higher xG: 1.03 vs 0.98. Rutsiro: 6.0 shots per match, Mukura: 5.0.
Match halves
Rutsiro: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.47. Mukura: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Rutsiro: 31-45+ (4 goals). Mukura: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 1.95 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mukura presents decidedly better form than Rutsiro, confirmed by a streak of four victories in the last five matches and a high average of points per match (2.4 vs 1.4). The hosts are in 14th place in the table and have not won a single match at home this season (0% wins), conceding an average of 1.83 goals per match and keeping zero clean sheets. Mukura shows solid defense in away games, conceding just 0.86 goals per match and maintaining 29% clean sheets. The difference in goal difference (-5 for Rutsiro at home vs -1 for Mukura away) and the comparison in expected goals (xG 0.99 vs 1.29 for the hosts, but with significantly better efficiency from the visitors) speak in favor of a Mukura win. Given Rutsiro's catastrophic home run and the visitors' excellent recent form, a victory for the away team is predicted.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rutsiro | Mukura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.59 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mukura is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Rutsiro · 2.4 pts / match - Mukura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rutsiro is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Rutsiro · 0.93 goals / match - Mukura
Mukura is 103% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Rutsiro · 0.79 goals / match - Mukura
Rutsiro scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Mukura keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).
Mukura scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Rutsiro keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rutsiro
Over / Under - Mukura
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mukura is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Rutsiro · 1.36 pts / match - Mukura
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rutsiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mukura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rutsiro
Mukura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Rutsiro | Liga | Mukura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 1.95 | ▼ 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 40% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 32% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 37% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 60% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 66% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Rutsiro vs Mukura?
The National Soccer League match finished Rutsiro 1:2 Mukura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rutsiro vs Mukura?
Rutsiro score 1.07 goals per game on average and Mukura 0.93. The National Soccer League average is 1.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Rutsiro's matches and 36% of Mukura's.
What form are Rutsiro and Mukura in?
Over the last 5 games Rutsiro have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mukura 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rutsiro vs Mukura?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rutsiro vs Mukura: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.