Ryūkyū vs Yokohama: match statistics

Yokohama come into this fixture in significantly better form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 goals scored during that run. Over the same period, Ryūkyū managed just 1 win, alongside 3 draws and 1 defeat, while averaging 1.2 points per game compared with their opponents’ 2.4. The visitors conceded 5 goals across their five appearances, whereas the hosts allowed 7, pointing to a slightly more reliable defensive structure for Yokohama. Ryūkyū have also scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, so they are capable of finding the net, but the visitors’ greater consistency in securing victories makes Yokohama the stronger pick to win.

The data from the last five matches strongly supports goals from both sides: BTTS occurred in 80% of Ryūkyū’s matches and 60% of Yokohama’s. During this period, Ryūkyū averaged 1.4 goals scored and conceded, indicating consistently open games. Yokohama scored even more frequently, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while its xG stood at 1.71 compared with 1.14 for the home side. However, the visitors’ defense is not flawless, as it allowed opponents an average of 1.42 xG, while Ryūkyū created 1.14 xG. The most likely scenario is therefore that Yokohama will confirm its attacking strength, while the hosts exploit the vulnerability of its defense and also find the net.

Seasonal data for this competition is unavailable, so the last 5 matches of both teams carry the greatest weight. During this period, Ryūkyū averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Yokohama averaged 1.8 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded. At least 3 goals were scored in 3 of each team’s last 5 matches, while both teams scored in 80% of Ryūkyū’s matches and 60% of Yokohama’s. Yokohama also recorded a higher average xG: 1.71 compared with the hosts’ 1.14, supporting the scenario of at least one goal from the visitors. The projected total of 2.80 goals provides the strongest edge for Over 1.5, as even with moderate attacking efficiency, at least 2 goals should be scored.

Yokohama are showing clearly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and average 1.8 goals per game, while Ryūkyū have just 1 win and score 1.4 goals per match. The visitors are also more defensively consistent, conceding an average of 1.0 goals compared with 1.4 for the hosts. Yokohama were leading at the break in 60% of their recent matches and were never trailing, whereas Ryūkyū were behind at half-time in 40% of their games. The visitors’ advantage continues after the interval: they have averaged 1.0 goals in the second half, conceded 0.8, and won the second half in 60% of cases, compared with 20% for Ryūkyū. The strongest HT/FT scenario is therefore Yokohama leading at half-time and securing the final victory: 1/1.