SønderjyskE vs Midtjylland: match statistics
SønderjyskE vs Midtjylland: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
SønderjyskE played Midtjylland in Superliga (Denmark). The match was played on 23 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
SønderjyskE: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Midtjylland: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
SønderjyskE scores 1.37 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Midtjylland scores 2.41 and concedes 1.07. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: SønderjyskE 56%, Midtjylland 63%. Over 2.5: SønderjyskE 52%, Midtjylland 63%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Midtjylland has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.39. SønderjyskE: 12.4 shots per match, Midtjylland: 14.4.
Match halves
SønderjyskE: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.89. Midtjylland: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.44.
Goals by minute
SønderjyskE: 76-90+ (14 goals). Midtjylland: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Midtjylland are the paper favorites: the visitors have scored 65 goals this season compared to SønderjyskE’s 37; away Midtjylland average 2.08 goals per match while the hosts record 1.54 at home. Defensively the visitors also have the edge — Midtjylland concede 0.85 goals on average away and keep 38% clean sheets, while SønderjyskE concede 1.08 at home and have 23% clean sheets; additionally the hosts have shipped 13 goals in their last 5 matches. In terms of chance quality Midtjylland average 5.38 shots on target per match with a conversion rate of 15%, versus 3.92 shots on target and 12% for the hosts; average xG is 1.54 for the visitors and 1.45 for the hosts, indicating an advantage in creating and converting chances. Form confirms the superiority: in the last 5 matches Midtjylland have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, averaging 1.6 points per match, whereas SønderjyskE have failed to win in that period (0-2-3) and are averaging 0.4 points per match. Therefore I predict a Midtjylland victory; I estimate the probability of an away win at 60%, draw 20% and home win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators favor a BTTS scenario: SønderjyskE has BTTS in 71% of matches, Midtjylland in 54%, and the league average is 61%. In the last 5 matches SønderjyskE has only 40% BTTS, scored 3 goals (0.6 per match) and conceded 13 (2.6 per match), while Midtjylland has 100% BTTS, scored 8 goals (1.6) and conceded 7 (1.4). xG analysis shows that over the last 5 SønderjyskE has 1.21 xG for and 1.92 xG against, and Midtjylland has 1.48 xG for and 1.48 xG against, suggesting the hosts allow more goal-scoring opportunities. Seasonally the home side averages 15.14 shots and 6.29 shots on target with an 18% conversion, while the visitors average 13.54 shots and 5.38 shots on target with a 15% conversion, and clean sheet expected percentage is 21% for hosts and 38% for guests. Considering the seasonal 71% vs 54%, form 40% vs 100% in the last 5, the hosts' xG-against disadvantage and both teams' shot activity, the most probable pick is BTTS - Yes (72%) vs No (28%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 3.03 (SønderjyskE attack xG 1.79 vs Midtjylland 1.54; xG against: 1.51 for Midtjylland and 1.22 for SønderjyskE), translating to an expected 1.65 goals for the home side and 1.38 for the visitors. A Poisson model with λ=3.03 yields roughly a 58% chance of Over 2.5 goals; additionally, seasonal Over 2.5 stats are 71% for the home team and 54% for the away team (average ~62%), which boosts the probability of Over 2.5. Over 1.5 is very likely: seasonally the home side has 86% of matches with over 1.5 goals and the away side 85%, and shot and accuracy numbers (15.14/13.54 shots, 6.29/5.38 on target) plus conversion (18% vs 15%) confirm offensive potential. The last 5 matches show some instability — SønderjyskE scored 3 in the last 5 (0.6 avg) and conceded 13 (2.6 avg), while Midtjylland scored 8 (1.6 avg) and conceded 7 (1.4 avg) — this suggests an open, high-scoring game. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (high seasonal 86/85 and expected 3.03 goals), while Over 2.5 remains a reasonable option at about 62% probability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time I expect the home side to be leading, as SønderjyskE averages 1.21 goals by the break versus Midtjylland’s 0.69, posts higher xG (1.79 vs 1.54) and registers more shots per match (15.14 vs 13.54). Seasonally the hosts lead at the break in 36% of matches and win the full match in 57% of games with only a 7% loss rate, which supports a full-time victory for the home team. On the other hand, SønderjyskE’s last five games are weak — 0.0 goals at half-time and conceding 0.8 by the break — and their second halves produce many goals (hosts average 2.29 goals after the break and 93% of matches see at least one goal in the second half), so there is a real risk of a turnaround. Considering the home advantage in the first half and their strong seasonal full-time conversion, I select the scenario of leading at half-time and winning the match for the home side (1/1) as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| SønderjyskE | Midtjylland | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Midtjylland is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - SønderjyskE · 1.6 pts / match - Midtjylland
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Midtjylland is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - SønderjyskE · 2.41 goals / match - Midtjylland
Midtjylland is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - SønderjyskE · 1.07 goals / match - Midtjylland
SønderjyskE scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Midtjylland keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
Midtjylland scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while SønderjyskE keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - SønderjyskE
Over / Under - Midtjylland
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Midtjylland is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - SønderjyskE · 1.52 pts / match - Midtjylland
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SønderjyskE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Midtjylland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
SønderjyskE
Midtjylland
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| SønderjyskE | Liga | Midtjylland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.89 | 3.09 | ▲ 3.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 62% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 22% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 74% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): SønderjyskE 1 - 1 - 1 Midtjylland. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of SønderjyskE vs Midtjylland?
The Superliga match finished SønderjyskE 1:2 Midtjylland. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between SønderjyskE and Midtjylland?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches SønderjyskE won 1, Midtjylland won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before SønderjyskE vs Midtjylland?
SønderjyskE score 1.37 goals per game on average and Midtjylland 2.41. The Superliga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 56% of SønderjyskE's matches and 63% of Midtjylland's.
What form are SønderjyskE and Midtjylland in?
Over the last 5 games SønderjyskE have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Midtjylland 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SønderjyskE vs Midtjylland?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.