SønderjyskE vs Nordsjælland: match statistics
SønderjyskE vs Nordsjælland: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
SønderjyskE played Nordsjælland in Superliga (Denmark). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: Sydbank Park. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
SønderjyskE: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Nordsjælland: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
SønderjyskE scores 1.39 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Nordsjælland scores 1.52 and concedes 1.45. League average: 3.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: SønderjyskE 55%, Nordsjælland 52%. Over 2.5: SønderjyskE 55%, Nordsjælland 58%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Nordsjælland has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.37. SønderjyskE: 12.1 shots per match, Nordsjælland: 13.4.
Match halves
SønderjyskE: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.87. Nordsjælland: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
SønderjyskE: 76-90+ (15 goals). Nordsjælland: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). SønderjyskE averages 1.6 goals per home match and has a +8 goal difference in home fixtures, whereas Nordsjælland score 1.2 goals away on average and have a -10 away goal difference. The hosts concede only 1.07 goals per home game compared to 1.87 conceded by the visitors on the road, and the shutout rate is 13% for SønderjyskE versus 33% for Nordsjælland, which clearly favors the hosts in terms of finishing efficiency. Nevertheless, SønderjyskE have conceded 10 goals in the last 5 matches (scoring 6), while Nordsjælland have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that period, so the hosts’ defense has been unstable recently. The difference in quality of chances is marginal (xG 1.44 for the hosts vs 1.36 for the visitors), and the visitors hold an advantage in possession (53% vs 45%), yet the strong home record and lower no-goal percentage point to a higher probability of a SønderjyskE victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
SønderjyskE scores on average 1.81 goals per match (xG 1.89), while Nordsjælland averages 1.20 goals scored (xG 1.36) and concedes 1.87 goals per match on average (xG against 1.71). Season BTTS rates are 50% for SønderjyskE and 53% for Nordsjælland, and the league overall has 59% of matches with both teams scoring and an average of 3.04 goals per match, which favors a Goal/Goal scenario. In the last 5 fixtures Nordsjælland registered BTTS in 60% of games, while SønderjyskE did so in 40%; the home side conceded an average of 2.0 goals in those five matches (10 conceded), and the visitors scored 4 goals (0.8 average), increasing the likelihood of an away goal. Although SønderjyskE has 44% clean sheets this season (versus 13% for Nordsjælland), the home side’s higher xG and greater number of shots on target (xG 1.89 and 6.81 SoT vs. away xG 1.36 and 4.33 SoT) and the league’s high goals-per-game average indicate both teams have a realistic ability to score. Considering these figures, the strongest signal is BTTS - Yes, so I assess probability at 65% for Yes versus 35% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.80 goals for SønderjyskE (attacking xG 1.89 vs Nordsjælland defence 1.71) and 1.29 for Nordsjælland (attacking xG 1.36 vs SønderjyskE defence 1.21), totaling 3.09 expected goals. Seasonal shares of matches over 1.5 goals are 69% for the home side and 80% for the away side, with a league average of 3.04 goals, so both teams regularly feature in fixtures with at least two goals. A Poisson approximation on 3.09 goals indicates roughly an 81% chance of Over 1.5, about 60% for Over 2.5 and around 37% for Over 3.5, which confirms an edge on the over market, especially on the lower line. Additionally, SønderjyskE have conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches (10 conceded), while Nordsjælland have an xG of 1.97 over their last five, increasing the likelihood of further goals and reinforcing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
SønderjyskE are the favorites: they average 1.81 goals per match versus Nordsjælland's 1.20 and have a higher xG (1.89 vs 1.36); the home side win 56% of matches, the visitors 33%. At half-time the hosts led in 44% of matches (the visitors only in 20%) and they score an average of 0.75 goals before the 45th minute while conceding 0.25, whereas Nordsjælland register 0.53 goals scored and 0.93 conceded in the first half. Additionally, SønderjyskE average 6.81 shots on target per match versus the opponents' 4.33 and keep a Half-Time clean sheet in 75% of matches, which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead at the break. The hosts are also active after the break (an average of 1.06 goals in the second half) and have a higher points-per-game average, 1.88 versus 1.13, so a favorable Half-Time result often translates into a Full-Time victory for the home team. Based on this I assigned 37% to the 1/1 scenario as the strongest signal, 15% to a draw at Half-Time turned into a home win (X/1), a low 1% to the case of the hosts leading at the break and then losing (1/2), and a moderate 11% to the visitors holding a lead to win (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| SønderjyskE | Nordsjælland | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nordsjælland is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - SønderjyskE · 1.52 goals / match - Nordsjælland
SønderjyskE scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Nordsjælland keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).
Nordsjælland scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while SønderjyskE keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - SønderjyskE
Over / Under - Nordsjælland
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nordsjælland is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - SønderjyskE · 1.32 pts / match - Nordsjælland
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SønderjyskE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nordsjælland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
SønderjyskE
Nordsjælland
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| SønderjyskE | Liga | Nordsjælland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.84 | 3.05 | • 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 60% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 24% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): SønderjyskE 1 - 0 - 2 Nordsjælland. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of SønderjyskE vs Nordsjælland?
The Superliga match finished SønderjyskE 1:4 Nordsjælland. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between SønderjyskE and Nordsjælland?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches SønderjyskE won 1, Nordsjælland won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before SønderjyskE vs Nordsjælland?
SønderjyskE score 1.39 goals per game on average and Nordsjælland 1.52. The Superliga average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 55% of SønderjyskE's matches and 52% of Nordsjælland's.
What form are SønderjyskE and Nordsjælland in?
Over the last 5 games SønderjyskE have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Nordsjælland 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SønderjyskE vs Nordsjælland?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.