Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi: match statistics
Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Saburtalo played Dinamo Batumi in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match was played on 29 May 2026. Venue: Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Saburtalo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Dinamo Batumi: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Saburtalo scores 1.47 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Dinamo Batumi scores 1.40 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Saburtalo 47%, Dinamo Batumi 60%. Over 2.5: Saburtalo 47%, Dinamo Batumi 67%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Saburtalo has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.37. Saburtalo: 10.1 shots per match, Dinamo Batumi: 11.0.
Match halves
Saburtalo: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.67. Dinamo Batumi: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Saburtalo: 0-15 (5 goals). Dinamo Batumi: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-2-0. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Saburtalo has a defensive and situational-quality edge at home: they concede 0.67 goals per home match on average and keep 50% clean sheets, while Dinamo Batumi concede 1.57 goals away and have only 14% clean sheets. In chance-creation efficiency the hosts are also superior — Saburtalo’s home xG For is 1.45 with 4.5 shots on target per game, whereas Dinamo away posts xG For 1.28 and 2.86 shots on target. Nonetheless Dinamo displays markedly better form over the last 5 matches: 4 wins and 11 goals versus Saburtalo’s 2 wins and 5 goals, translating to PPG 2.6 versus 1.4. Additionally Saburtalo fail to score in only 17% of home matches (FTS 17%), while Dinamo register 43% of away games without a goal, which limits the visitors’ upside. Considering the hosts’ defensive stability, superior home xG and the lower share of matches without scoring for Saburtalo, I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are 63% for Saburtalo and 57% for Dinamo Batumi, averaging around 60% versus the league level of 51%, so the seasonal trend favors a both-teams-to-score scenario. In the last 5 matches Saburtalo has BTTS in only 40% while Dinamo has 80%; furthermore Dinamo averages 2.2 goals in the last five fixtures vs Saburtalo 1.0, which increases the likelihood of goals from the away side. Both teams have low clean sheet percentages: 13% (Saburtalo) and 14% (Dinamo) and concede on average 1.5 and 1.57 goals per season respectively, supporting the expectation that both will find the net. xG analysis shows balanced chance creation and risk: xG for Saburtalo is 1.45 versus xG conceded by Dinamo 1.38, and xG for Dinamo is 1.28 versus xG conceded by Saburtalo 1.29, so both sides have realistic scoring opportunities. Considering the seasonal 63%/57%, Dinamo’s recent form (80% BTTS in L5) and low clean sheet rates, I recommend BTTS - Yes with a probability of 67% versus 33% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculate expected goals at 1.42 for Saburtalo and 1.28 for Dinamo Batumi, totaling 2.70 goals; the model considers home xG 1.45 and xG against guests 1.38, and away xG 1.28 with xG against home 1.29. Season metrics show Saburtalo has Over 1.5 in 88% and Over 2.5 in 75% of home matches, while Dinamo has Over 1.5 in 71% and Over 2.5 in 57% of their away games (averaging about 80% for Over 1.5 and 66% for Over 2.5). Additionally both teams have low clean sheet rates (13% and 14%) and high BTTS (63% and 57%), indicating frequent conceding and scoring by both sides; Saburtalo averages 4.13 shots on target versus 2.86 for Dinamo. In the last 5 matches Dinamo scored 11 goals (2.2 avg) and Saburtalo 5 goals (1.0), which supports a prediction of more than 1.5 goals. Based on this I recommend betting OVER 1.5 as the strongest signal (estimated 85% probability); Over 2.5 I assess at about 65%, and Over 3.5 at about 33%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches Dinamo Batumi won 4 of 5 (80%) and led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%), suggesting the visitors often start aggressively and can be in the lead at Half-Time. Conversely, Saburtalo have a seasonal home advantage: 1.75 points per home match versus Batumi’s 1.0 points away, higher xG of 1.45 versus 1.28 and more shots on target (4.13 vs 2.86), which supports greater potential for a turnaround after the break. Second-half data reinforce this — Saburtalo scored after the break in 100% of their games and average 0.75 goals in the second half; additionally, 4 of the hosts’ goals occurred in minutes 46–60 (46–60: 4 vs 0 for opponents), so they tend to return to the game after Half-Time. Considering Batumi more often lead at the break (3 of 5) while Saburtalo have better end-game metrics (1.75 pts/match, xG 1.45, 4.13 SOT), the most likely scenario is the visitors leading at Half-Time and the hosts winning at Full-Time (HT/FT 2/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Saburtalo | Dinamo Batumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dinamo Batumi is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Saburtalo · 2.6 pts / match - Dinamo Batumi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Saburtalo is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Saburtalo · 1.4 goals / match - Dinamo Batumi
Saburtalo is 65% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Saburtalo · 1.53 goals / match - Dinamo Batumi
Saburtalo scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Dinamo Batumi keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
Dinamo Batumi scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Saburtalo keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Saburtalo
Over / Under - Dinamo Batumi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Saburtalo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dinamo Batumi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Saburtalo | Liga | Dinamo Batumi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.40 | 2.39 | ▲ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 53% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 29% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 65% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Saburtalo 3 - 2 - 0 Dinamo Batumi. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Saburtalo 1:0 Dinamo Batumi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Saburtalo and Dinamo Batumi?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Saburtalo won 3, Dinamo Batumi won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi?
Saburtalo score 1.47 goals per game on average and Dinamo Batumi 1.40. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Saburtalo's matches and 60% of Dinamo Batumi's.
What form are Saburtalo and Dinamo Batumi in?
Over the last 5 games Saburtalo have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Dinamo Batumi 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi?
The statistical background for Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.