Saburtalo vs Gagra: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Saburtalo played Gagra in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match was played on 6 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Saburtalo: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Gagra: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Saburtalo scores 1.69 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Gagra scores 1.23 and concedes 1.54. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Saburtalo 37%, Gagra 54%. Over 2.5: Saburtalo 40%, Gagra 51%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Saburtalo has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.58. Saburtalo: 14.4 shots per match, Gagra: 13.4.

Match halves

Saburtalo: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.91. Gagra: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.77.

Goals by minute

Saburtalo: 31-45+ (14 goals). Gagra: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Erovnuli Liga: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

37Possession (%)63
SaburtaloGagra
14Shots9
SaburtaloGagra
5Shots on target3
SaburtaloGagra
1.65xG1.25
SaburtaloGagra
6Corners3
SaburtaloGagra
57Dangerous attacks64
SaburtaloGagra
13Fouls6
SaburtaloGagra
4Cards4
SaburtaloGagra

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.69Goals scored / match1.23
SaburtaloGagra
0.63Goals conceded / match1.54
SaburtaloGagra
54%Average possession52%
SaburtaloGagra
5.23Shots on target / match4.03
SaburtaloGagra

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.43Shots per match13.4
SaburtaloGagra
5.23Shots on target4.03
SaburtaloGagra
11.7%Shot conversion9.2%
SaburtaloGagra
54%Possession52%
SaburtaloGagra
1.72xG for1.58
SaburtaloGagra
1.28xG against1.58
SaburtaloGagra

Shooting quality

Saburtalo: AttackingGagra: Balanced
SaburtaloGagra
Accuracy (shots on target)36%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Saburtalo is 114% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Saburtalo · 1.4 pts / match - Gagra

Saburtalo
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
66% W23% R11% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-8-4
2.20 pts / match · goal difference +37
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-4-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 2.11Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
Gagra
DLWWL
Season result split
34% W17% R49% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-17
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-2-7
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.15Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Saburtalo is 37% better for: goals scored per match.

1.69 goals / match - Saburtalo · 1.23 goals / match - Gagra

Saburtalo is 144% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.63 goals / match - Saburtalo · 1.54 goals / match - Gagra

Saburtalo scoring profile: very strong

Saburtalo scores in 86% of matches (30 of 35 matches), while Gagra keeps a clean sheet in 20% (7 of 35 matches).

Gagra scoring profile: mixed

Gagra scores in 74% of matches (26 of 35 matches), while Saburtalo keeps a clean sheet in 60% (21 of 35 matches).

59Goals scored (season)43
SaburtaloGagra
22Goals conceded (season)54
SaburtaloGagra
2.31Average goals in match2.77
SaburtaloGagra
10Goals scored (last 5)11
SaburtaloGagra
0Goals conceded (last 5)9
SaburtaloGagra

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal74%
SaburtaloGagra
49%2 goals29%
SaburtaloGagra
20%3 goals11%
SaburtaloGagra
9%4 goals9%
SaburtaloGagra

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal80%
SaburtaloGagra
17%2 goals46%
SaburtaloGagra
6%3 goals17%
SaburtaloGagra
0%4 goals9%
SaburtaloGagra

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time26%
SaburtaloGagra
3%BTTS in both halves3%
SaburtaloGagra
29%Scored in both halves20%
SaburtaloGagra

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
SaburtaloGagra
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
SaburtaloGagra
0%BTTS - last 5100%
SaburtaloGagra

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
SaburtaloGagra
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
SaburtaloGagra
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
SaburtaloGagra

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
SaburtaloGagra
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
SaburtaloGagra
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
SaburtaloGagra

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Saburtalo is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.74 pts / match - Saburtalo · 0.94 pts / match - Gagra

Saburtalo - half-time state
40% leading54% draw6% trailing
Gagra - half-time state
17% leading43% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.74Points per match (1st half)0.94
SaburtaloGagra
0.77Goals scored (1st half)0.46
SaburtaloGagra
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
SaburtaloGagra
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.2
SaburtaloGagra
77%Clean sheet before half-time43%
SaburtaloGagra
46%No goal before half-time60%
SaburtaloGagra

After half-time (2nd half)

1.89Points per match (2nd half)1.43
SaburtaloGagra
0.91Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
SaburtaloGagra
0.31Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
SaburtaloGagra
1.23Average goals (2nd half)1.57
SaburtaloGagra
71%Clean sheet after half-time43%
SaburtaloGagra
40%No goal after half-time46%
SaburtaloGagra

Saburtalo - second-half results

54% W26% R20% P
61
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+21
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.74
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gagra - second-half results

40% W23% R37% P
33
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Saburtalo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.60
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Gagra - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.62.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Saburtalo
ScoredConceded
6
0
0-15
7
5
16-30
14
6
31-45
11
1
46-60
11
2
61-75
10
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Gagra
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
6
12
16-30
5
10
31-45
9
4
46-60
5
6
61-75
13
18
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Saburtalo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Gagra

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).

Teams vs league

SaburtaloLigaGagra
Average goals in match 2.312.68 2.77
Both teams scored 37%51% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%50% 51%
Clean sheets 60%27% 20%
Goal before half-time 57%67% 71%
Goal after half-time 80%85% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. GagraYellow cardSaba Zoidze
  2. SaburtaloYellow cardAmiran Dzagania
  3. SaburtaloYellow cardAmiran Dzagania
  4. GagraSubstitutionOn: Davit Mujiri Jr.Off: Saba Zoidze
  5. SaburtaloSubstitutionOn: Tornike AkhvledianiOff: Luka Silagadze
  6. SaburtaloGoalGizo Mamageishvili
  7. GagraRed cardIllia Skrypnyk
  8. SaburtaloSubstitutionOn: Guram GoshtelianiOff: Nikoloz Dadiani
  9. GagraSubstitutionOn: Giorgi PapuashviliOff: Rati Ardazishvili
  10. SaburtaloSubstitutionOn: Giorgi KobuladzeOff: Gizo Mamageishvili
  11. SaburtaloYellow cardGiorgi Kobuladze

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Saburtalo 3 - 0 - 0 Gagra. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FC Gagra
1 : 3
FC Saburtalo Tbilisi
FC Saburtalo Tbilisi
3 : 1
FC Gagra
FC Gagra
0 : 1
FC Saburtalo Tbilisi

FAQ

What was the result of Saburtalo vs Gagra?

The Erovnuli Liga match finished Saburtalo 2:1 Gagra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Saburtalo and Gagra?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Saburtalo won 3, Gagra won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Saburtalo vs Gagra?

Saburtalo score 1.69 goals per game on average and Gagra 1.23. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Saburtalo's matches and 54% of Gagra's.

What form are Saburtalo and Gagra in?

Over the last 5 games Saburtalo have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Gagra 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Saburtalo vs Gagra?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Saburtalo vs Gagra: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.