Saburtalo vs Meshakhte: match statistics
Saburtalo vs Meshakhte: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Saburtalo played Meshakhte in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match was played on 23 June 2026. Venue: Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Saburtalo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Meshakhte: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Saburtalo scores 1.39 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Meshakhte scores 0.67 and concedes 1.78. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Saburtalo 50%, Meshakhte 56%. Over 2.5: Saburtalo 44%, Meshakhte 44%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Saburtalo has higher xG: 1.42 vs 0.94. Saburtalo: 10.3 shots per match, Meshakhte: 7.5.
Match halves
Saburtalo: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.56. Meshakhte: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Saburtalo: 31-45+ (6 goals). Meshakhte: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Saburtalo are the clear favorites for this matchup: they sit 2nd in the table versus Meshakhte’s 10th and at home concede just 0.78 goals on average while scoring 1.11, resulting in a positive home goal difference (+3). The visitors have serious issues both offensively and defensively — they average 0.78 goals scored on the road and concede 1.78, with an away goal difference of -9 and only 1 win this season. In the last 5 matches Saburtalo have scored 6 goals (2-1-2) and are collecting 1.4 points per game, whereas Meshakhte are winless in that period (0-1-4), scoring 3 and conceding 15, which yields 0.2 PPG. The quality of chances created by the hosts is superior — Saburtalo’s home xG is 1.48 versus 1.02 xG for Meshakhte away, with 4.56 shots on target per game vs 2.11 for the visitors. Additionally, Saburtalo have a lower share of scoreless matches (FTS 11% vs 33%) and more home clean sheets (CS 44% vs 11%), therefore I back the home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics point towards BTTS - Yes: league BTTS rate is 56% and both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches. Saburtalo at home has a season BTTS of 44% and a clean sheet in 44% of matches (so they concede in 56% at home), while Meshakhte away has BTTS 56% and only 11% clean sheets, increasing the likelihood of a home goal. In the last 5 matches Saburtalo averaged 1.2 goals with xG 1.73, and Meshakhte scored 0.6 goals with average xG 1.02 and conceded 3.0 goals on average, indicating a weak away defence. Additionally, average xG against both teams is around 1.5 (1.58 and 1.51) and the visitors average 8.56 shots with a 9% conversion versus 6.89 shots and 6% for the hosts, so both sides create chances. Despite low seasonal goalscoring averages (0.44 for Saburtalo and 0.78 for Meshakhte), the aggregate of these signals leads me to pick BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on average xG and defensive xG (home xG 0.90 vs xG against visitors 1.51; away xG 1.02 vs xG against home 1.58) yields expected goals of 1.21 for Saburtalo and 1.30 for Meshakhte, totaling 2.51 goals. Season goal averages, however, show low finishing: Saburtalo scores 0.44 goals on average with xG 0.90, and Meshakhte 0.78 with xG 1.02, indicating they create chances but struggle to finish. In the last 5 matches the hosts have xG 1.73 and scored 6 goals, while the visitors have conceded 15 goals in their last 5 games (3.0 per match), which increases the goal risk in this fixture. Season percentages for Over 1.5 are 56% for Saburtalo and 78% for Meshakhte (average 67%), and Over 2.5 percentages are 33% and 56% (average 44%), so the strongest signal from the data points to Over 1.5. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the best line (estimate 71% vs 29%), while Over 2.5 and 3.5 are less convincing (~46%/54% and ~24%/76%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last five matches Saburtalo led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%), while Meshakhte never led (0%), providing a strong signal in favor of the home side at Half-Time. In those five fixtures the home team averaged 0.6 goals by Half-Time versus 0.0 for the visitors, with average points of 1.4 for Saburtalo and 0.2 for Meshakhte across the last five. Additionally, Meshakhte conceded an average of 3.0 goals per match in their last five outings compared to 1.2 conceded by Saburtalo, indicating greater defensive vulnerability from the away side. Although the home xG is 0.9 against 1.02 for the opponents, the higher goals conceded by Meshakhte and Saburtalo’s superior form (40% wins in the last five vs 0% for the visitors) increase the probability of the home side maintaining a lead after the break. On this basis the most likely scenario is the home team leading at Half-Time and winning by Full-Time (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Saburtalo | Meshakhte | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Saburtalo is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Saburtalo · 0.2 pts / match - Meshakhte
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Saburtalo is 107% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Saburtalo · 0.67 goals / match - Meshakhte
Saburtalo is 89% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Saburtalo · 1.78 goals / match - Meshakhte
Saburtalo scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Meshakhte keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Meshakhte scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Saburtalo keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Saburtalo
Over / Under - Meshakhte
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Saburtalo is 142% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / match - Saburtalo · 0.78 pts / match - Meshakhte
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Saburtalo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Meshakhte - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 6%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Saburtalo | Liga | Meshakhte | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Saburtalo 1 - 1 - 0 Meshakhte. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Saburtalo vs Meshakhte?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Saburtalo 2:1 Meshakhte. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Saburtalo and Meshakhte?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Saburtalo won 1, Meshakhte won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Saburtalo vs Meshakhte?
Saburtalo score 1.39 goals per game on average and Meshakhte 0.67. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Saburtalo's matches and 56% of Meshakhte's.
What form are Saburtalo and Meshakhte in?
Over the last 5 games Saburtalo have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Meshakhte 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Saburtalo vs Meshakhte?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.