Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive: match statistics
Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sacramento Republic played El Paso Locomotive in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Sacramento Republic: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match. El Paso Locomotive: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sacramento Republic scores 1.00 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. El Paso Locomotive scores 2.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sacramento Republic 33%, El Paso Locomotive 50%. Over 2.5: Sacramento Republic 0%, El Paso Locomotive 100%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
El Paso Locomotive has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.21. Sacramento Republic: 8.3 shots per match, El Paso Locomotive: 14.5.
Match halves
Sacramento Republic: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. El Paso Locomotive: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Sacramento Republic: 61-75 (2 goals). El Paso Locomotive: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams display strong metrics: Sacramento unbeaten at home (0 defeats), 1.5 goals per match and 0.5 GA, indicating a solid defence. El Paso show impressive away numbers (100% wins in available data, 3 goals per match and 100% CS), high shot efficiency and higher volume. The contrasting styles — Sacramento possession/control vs El Paso aggression and conversion — balance out, making a clear pick difficult. Recent form for both is good; therefore a draw is the most likely outcome, though a narrow win for either side is possible.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Despite some conflicting metrics, signals favor BTTS. Sacramento home: 100% season BTTS, 0% CS, high xG (1.67) and 7 SOT, indicating chance creation. El Paso show high shot efficiency (23%), 3.0 avg goals and conceded 8 in L5, supporting involvement in open games. League BTTS 56% and both teams 100% over2.5 suggest open matches. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes (moderate confidence).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG (1.67 home, 1.51 away) and opponent defensive values suggest total ~2.67 xG. Sacramento generates more shots (16 avg) and SOT, while El Paso has high finishing (23% conversion) — increasing chance of victorial finishes. Season percentages show very high tendencies for Over1.5 and Over2.5 for both teams, confirming an offensive fixture. Given this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Available data strongly favor El Paso — 100% away winPercentage and 100% leadingAtHTPercentage_away indicate guests often lead at Half-Time and win. HT stats show low concededAVG_away (0.0) and relatively even scoredAVGHT, while second halves also favor the away side (scored_2hg_avg_away 2.0, gd_2hg_away 2.0). Recent form and xG (xg_for_avg_away 1.51 vs xg_for_avg_home 1.67, but clear away result superiority) confirm El Paso’s efficiency in converting chances. Given these signals the most reliable market is HT away lead and FT away win (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sacramento Republic | El Paso Locomotive | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
El Paso Locomotive is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.67 pts / match - Sacramento Republic · 2 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Paso Locomotive is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 2.5 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive
Sacramento Republic is 203% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.33 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 1 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive
Sacramento Republic scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
El Paso Locomotive scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sacramento Republic
Over / Under - El Paso Locomotive
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Paso Locomotive is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Sacramento Republic · 2 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
El Paso Locomotive - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 100% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sacramento Republic
El Paso Locomotive
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Sacramento Republic | Liga | El Paso Locomotive | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.33 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 58% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 0% | 58% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Sacramento Republic 2 - 0 - 2 El Paso Locomotive. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?
The USL Championship match finished Sacramento Republic 1:2 El Paso Locomotive. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sacramento Republic and El Paso Locomotive?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 2, El Paso Locomotive won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?
Sacramento Republic score 1.00 goals per game on average and El Paso Locomotive 2.50. The USL Championship average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Sacramento Republic's matches and 50% of El Paso Locomotive's.
What form are Sacramento Republic and El Paso Locomotive in?
Over the last 5 games Sacramento Republic have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and El Paso Locomotive 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.