Sacramento Republic vs Lexington: match statistics
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Sacramento Republic vs Lexington: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sacramento Republic play Lexington in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 16 August 2026.
Current form
Sacramento Republic: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Lexington: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sacramento Republic scores 1.14 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Lexington scores 1.57 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sacramento Republic 57%, Lexington 64%. Over 2.5: Sacramento Republic 29%, Lexington 64%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lexington has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.36. Sacramento Republic: 10.7 shots per match, Lexington: 12.2.
Match halves
Sacramento Republic: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.79. Lexington: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Sacramento Republic: 76-90+ (5 goals). Lexington: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-0. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sacramento Republic | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lexington is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.8 pts / match - Lexington
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lexington is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.57 goals / match - Lexington
Sacramento Republic is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.43 goals / match - Lexington
Sacramento Republic scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Lexington scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sacramento Republic
Over / Under - Lexington
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lexington is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.36 pts / match - Lexington
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lexington - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sacramento Republic
Lexington
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Sacramento Republic | Liga | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 52% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Sacramento Republic 0 - 3 - 0 Lexington. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
When do Sacramento Republic and Lexington play?
Sacramento Republic face Lexington on 16 August 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sacramento Republic and Lexington?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 0, Lexington won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sacramento Republic vs Lexington?
Sacramento Republic score 1.14 goals per game on average and Lexington 1.57. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Sacramento Republic's matches and 64% of Lexington's.
What form are Sacramento Republic and Lexington in?
Over the last 5 games Sacramento Republic have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lexington 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sacramento Republic vs Lexington?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.