United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 08 September 2026

Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay: match statistics

175%(1.46)
X18%(4.00)
27%(6.40)

Sacramento Republic boasts an impressive home record with a 100% win rate and clean sheets in all their home matches this season. The hosts are in 5th place in the table and have collected a solid 1.8 points per match over their last 5 overall fixtures, remaining undefeated in their last 5 games. Monterey Bay sits in a lowly 25th place, having earned zero points on the road this season, failing to score away from home and conceding an average of 2 goals per game. The visitors' catastrophic form (0.2 points per match in their last 5 outings) combined with a complete lack of offensive statistics away from home indicates a massive advantage for the hosts. Considering Sacramento's 100% clean sheet record at home and Monterey Bay's total ineffectiveness on the road, a home win is highly likely.

Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sacramento Republic played Monterey Bay in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Sacramento Republic: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. Monterey Bay: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sacramento Republic scores 1.00 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Monterey Bay scores 0.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sacramento Republic 0%, Monterey Bay 0%. Over 2.5: Sacramento Republic 0%, Monterey Bay 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Monterey Bay has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.00. Sacramento Republic: 8.0 shots per match, Monterey Bay: 11.0.

Match halves

Sacramento Republic: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Monterey Bay: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Sacramento Republic: 61-75 (1 goals). Monterey Bay: 0-15 (0 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 25%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Sacramento Republic boasts an impressive home record with a 100% win rate and clean sheets in all their home matches this season. The hosts are in 5th place in the table and have collected a solid 1.8 points per match over their last 5 overall fixtures, remaining undefeated in their last 5 games. Monterey Bay sits in a lowly 25th place, having earned zero points on the road this season, failing to score away from home and conceding an average of 2 goals per game. The visitors' catastrophic form (0.2 points per match in their last 5 outings) combined with a complete lack of offensive statistics away from home indicates a massive advantage for the hosts. Considering Sacramento's 100% clean sheet record at home and Monterey Bay's total ineffectiveness on the road, a home win is highly likely.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

59Possession (%)41
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
9Shots12
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
4Shots on target2
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
1.62xG1.4
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
7Corners0
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
105Dangerous attacks69
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
11Fouls16
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
3Cards0
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
1Goals scored / match0
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0Goals conceded / match2
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
52%Average possession43%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
2Shots on target / match2
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8Shots per match11
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
2Shots on target2
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
12.5%Shot conversion0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
52%Possession43%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
1xG for1.23
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
1.12xG against1.39
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay

Shooting quality

Sacramento Republic: BalancedMonterey Bay: Balanced
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
Accuracy (shots on target)25%18%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.00

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sacramento Republic
WD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Monterey Bay
LL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% R100% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sacramento Republic scoring profile: very strong

Sacramento Republic scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

Monterey Bay scoring profile: more difficult

Monterey Bay scores in 0% of matches (0 of 2 matches), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 matches).

2Goals scored (season)0
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0Goals conceded (season)4
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
1Average goals in match2
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
2Goals scored (last 5)0
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0Goals conceded (last 5)4
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
50%2 goals0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0%3 goals0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0%4 goals0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay

How often they concede at least...

0%1 goal100%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0%2 goals50%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0%3 goals50%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0%4 goals0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

0%
Sacramento Republic - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.0 of 2 matches
55%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0%Scored in both halves0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS50%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0%BTTS - last 50%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

0%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sacramento Republic is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Sacramento Republic · 0.5 pts / match - Monterey Bay

Sacramento Republic - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Monterey Bay - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.5
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0Goals scored (1st half)0
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0Average goals (1st half)0.5
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
100%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
100%No goal before half-time100%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)0
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
1Goals scored (2nd half)0
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
1Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
100%Clean sheet after half-time0%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
50%No goal after half-time100%
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay

Sacramento Republic - second-half results

50% W50% R0% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Monterey Bay - second-half results

0% W0% R100% P
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sacramento Republic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.01.0
1 goal0%50%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Monterey Bay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.500.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.51.5
Average goals in match0.51.5
1 goal50%100%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%0%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 50% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sacramento Republic
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Monterey Bay
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 0.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
56%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
0%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
0%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
50%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 2 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sacramento Republic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Monterey Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.84
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.61
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
0%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Sacramento RepublicLigaMonterey Bay
Average goals in match 1.002.66 2.00
Both teams scored 0%55% 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 0%59% 50%
Clean sheets 100%29% 0%
Goal before half-time 0%66% 50%
Goal after half-time 50%83% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Sacramento RepublicYellow cardArturo Rodriquez
  2. Monterey BaySubstitutionOn: Sebastian LletgetOff: John Klein
  3. Sacramento RepublicYellow cardMichelle Jonathan Benítez Valenzuela
  4. Sacramento RepublicGoalForster AjagoAssist: Arturo Rodriquez
  5. Sacramento RepublicSubstitutionOn: Jose Casas de AbadalOff: Blake Willey
  6. Monterey BayGoalWesley LeggettAssist: Riley Bidois
  7. Sacramento RepublicSubstitutionOn: Kyle EdwardsOff: Arturo Rodriquez
  8. Sacramento RepublicYellow cardFrederik Kleemann

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Sacramento Republic 2 - 1 - 1 Monterey Bay. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 25% matches.

Monterey Bay FC
1 : 0
Sacramento Republic FC
Sacramento Republic FC
1 : 0
Monterey Bay FC
Sacramento Republic
2 : 2
Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay
0 : 2
Sacramento Republic

FAQ

What was the result of Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?

The USL Championship match finished Sacramento Republic 1:1 Monterey Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sacramento Republic and Monterey Bay?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 2, Monterey Bay won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?

Sacramento Republic score 1.00 goals per game on average and Monterey Bay 0.00. The USL Championship average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Sacramento Republic's matches and 0% of Monterey Bay's.

What form are Sacramento Republic and Monterey Bay in?

Over the last 5 games Sacramento Republic have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Monterey Bay 0-0-2 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.