Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay: match statistics
Sacramento Republic boasts an impressive home record with a 100% win rate and clean sheets in all their home matches this season. The hosts are in 5th place in the table and have collected a solid 1.8 points per match over their last 5 overall fixtures, remaining undefeated in their last 5 games. Monterey Bay sits in a lowly 25th place, having earned zero points on the road this season, failing to score away from home and conceding an average of 2 goals per game. The visitors' catastrophic form (0.2 points per match in their last 5 outings) combined with a complete lack of offensive statistics away from home indicates a massive advantage for the hosts. Considering Sacramento's 100% clean sheet record at home and Monterey Bay's total ineffectiveness on the road, a home win is highly likely.
Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sacramento Republic play Monterey Bay in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 22 March 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Sacramento Republic: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Monterey Bay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sacramento Republic scores 1.14 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Monterey Bay scores 1.00 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sacramento Republic 57%, Monterey Bay 50%. Over 2.5: Sacramento Republic 29%, Monterey Bay 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Sacramento Republic has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.21. Sacramento Republic: 10.7 shots per match, Monterey Bay: 9.6.
Match halves
Sacramento Republic: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.79. Monterey Bay: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Sacramento Republic: 76-90+ (5 goals). Monterey Bay: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 25%.
Match description
Sacramento Republic boasts an impressive home record with a 100% win rate and clean sheets in all their home matches this season. The hosts are in 5th place in the table and have collected a solid 1.8 points per match over their last 5 overall fixtures, remaining undefeated in their last 5 games. Monterey Bay sits in a lowly 25th place, having earned zero points on the road this season, failing to score away from home and conceding an average of 2 goals per game. The visitors' catastrophic form (0.2 points per match in their last 5 outings) combined with a complete lack of offensive statistics away from home indicates a massive advantage for the hosts. Considering Sacramento's 100% clean sheet record at home and Monterey Bay's total ineffectiveness on the road, a home win is highly likely.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sacramento Republic | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sacramento Republic is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 1 goals / match - Monterey Bay
Sacramento Republic is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.56 goals / match - Monterey Bay
Sacramento Republic scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Monterey Bay scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sacramento Republic
Over / Under — Monterey Bay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monterey Bay is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.06 pts / match - Monterey Bay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Monterey Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sacramento Republic
Monterey Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Sacramento Republic | Liga | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 67% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Sacramento Republic 2 - 1 - 1 Monterey Bay. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?
The USL Championship match finished Sacramento Republic 1:1 Monterey Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sacramento Republic and Monterey Bay?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 2, Monterey Bay won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?
Sacramento Republic score 1.14 goals per game on average and Monterey Bay 1.00. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Sacramento Republic's matches and 50% of Monterey Bay's.
What form are Sacramento Republic and Monterey Bay in?
Over the last 5 games Sacramento Republic have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Monterey Bay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.