Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United: match statistics
Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sacramento Republic play New Mexico United in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 21 June 2026 at 05:00. Venue: Papa Murphy’s Park. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Sacramento Republic: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. New Mexico United: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sacramento Republic scores 1.14 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. New Mexico United scores 1.36 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sacramento Republic 57%, New Mexico United 50%. Over 2.5: Sacramento Republic 29%, New Mexico United 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Sacramento Republic has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.33. Sacramento Republic: 10.7 shots per match, New Mexico United: 11.9.
Match halves
Sacramento Republic: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.79. New Mexico United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Sacramento Republic: 76-90+ (5 goals). New Mexico United: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 3-0-1. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I back Sacramento Republic to win. At home they average 12.4 shots per match, 4.4 on target, scoring 1.8 goals with xG 1.61, whereas New Mexico away average only 8.8 shots, 2.6 on target, 0.4 goals and xG 1.02. The decisive differences are efficiency and consistency — Sacramento have 0% matches without a goal at home (i.e. scored in every game), while New Mexico failed to score in 60% of their away fixtures; shot conversion is 15% versus 5% in favor of the hosts. Defensively, Sacramento concede 1.0 goal at home on average with xG against 1.35, while New Mexico concede 1.2 goals away with xG against 1.6, indicating a slightly more solid home defense. Although the visitors have scored 6 goals in the last 5 matches and average 1.6 points per game in that span versus the hosts’ 4 goals and 1.4 points, their negative away goal difference (-4) and lower share of shots on target (2.6 vs 4.4) favor Sacramento as the pre-match favourite.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sacramento Republic | New Mexico United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New Mexico United is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sacramento Republic · 2.2 pts / match - New Mexico United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New Mexico United is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.36 goals / match - New Mexico United
Sacramento Republic is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.07 goals / match - New Mexico United
Sacramento Republic scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while New Mexico United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
New Mexico United scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sacramento Republic
Over / Under — New Mexico United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New Mexico United is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.36 pts / match - New Mexico United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
New Mexico United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sacramento Republic
New Mexico United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Sacramento Republic | Liga | New Mexico United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 67% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 80% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Sacramento Republic 3 - 0 - 1 New Mexico United. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United?
The USL Championship match finished Sacramento Republic 0:1 New Mexico United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sacramento Republic and New Mexico United?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 3, New Mexico United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United?
Sacramento Republic score 1.14 goals per game on average and New Mexico United 1.36. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Sacramento Republic's matches and 50% of New Mexico United's.
What form are Sacramento Republic and New Mexico United in?
Over the last 5 games Sacramento Republic have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and New Mexico United 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.