United States - USL ChampionshipPapa Murphy’s ParkData current as of 22 October 2026

Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sacramento Republic play Oakland Roots in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Papa Murphy’s Park.

Current form

Sacramento Republic: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Oakland Roots: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sacramento Republic scores 1.34 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Oakland Roots scores 1.28 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sacramento Republic 55%, Oakland Roots 55%. Over 2.5: Sacramento Republic 31%, Oakland Roots 45%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Sacramento Republic has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.35. Sacramento Republic: 12.2 shots per match, Oakland Roots: 11.1.

Match halves

Sacramento Republic: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.83. Oakland Roots: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72.

Goals by minute

Sacramento Republic: 76-90+ (13 goals). Oakland Roots: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-1. Average goals 4.60, BTTS 80%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.46)
(3.96)
(5.91)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
1.34Goals scored / match1.28
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
0.9Goals conceded / match1.28
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
53%Average possession53%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
3.97Shots on target / match3.52
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.24Shots per match11.1
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
3.97Shots on target3.52
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
11%Shot conversion11.5%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
53%Possession53%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
1.47xG for1.35
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
1.16xG against1.46
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots

Shooting quality

Sacramento Republic: BalancedOakland Roots: Balanced
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
Accuracy (shots on target)32%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sacramento Republic
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
41% W41% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-12-5
1.66 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-2
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DWDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Oakland Roots
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
31% W38% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-11-9
1.31 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sacramento Republic is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.34 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.28 goals / match - Oakland Roots

Sacramento Republic is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.9 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.28 goals / match - Oakland Roots

Sacramento Republic scoring profile: very strong

Sacramento Republic scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Oakland Roots keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).

Oakland Roots scoring profile: strong

Oakland Roots scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).

39Goals scored (season)37
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
26Goals conceded (season)37
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
2.24Average goals in match2.55
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
9Goals scored (last 5)8
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
6Goals conceded (last 5)2
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal69%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
31%2 goals34%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
17%3 goals14%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
3%4 goals10%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal72%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
24%2 goals38%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
0%3 goals14%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
0%4 goals3%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
Sacramento Republic - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 29 matches
54%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time21%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
3%BTTS in both halves10%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
14%Scored in both halves28%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots

BTTS and goal count

28%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
80%BTTS - last 520%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
34%Min. 2 goals before half-time34%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time34%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Oakland Roots is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.24 pts / match - Oakland Roots

Sacramento Republic - half-time state
21% leading55% draw24% trailing
Oakland Roots - half-time state
24% leading52% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.24
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
0.52Goals scored (1st half)0.55
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.03
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
59%Clean sheet before half-time59%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
69%No goal before half-time55%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots

After half-time (2nd half)

1.79Points per match (2nd half)1.38
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.72
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
1.21Average goals (2nd half)1.52
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
66%Clean sheet after half-time52%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
38%No goal after half-time48%
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots

Sacramento Republic - second-half results

45% W45% D10% L
34
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding195%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Oakland Roots - second-half results

34% W34% D31% L
36
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sacramento Republic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Oakland Roots - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.20
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sacramento Republic
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
6
7
16-30
5
6
31-45
5
2
46-60
6
6
61-75
13
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

Oakland Roots
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
7
3
16-30
5
3
31-45
8
5
46-60
3
7
61-75
10
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+92%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sacramento Republic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Oakland Roots

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.89
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Sacramento RepublicLigaOakland Roots
Average goals in match▼ 2.242.71▼ 2.55
Both teams scored• 55%54%• 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 31%49%▼ 45%
Clean sheets▲ 34%28%• 28%
Goal before half-time▼ 55%66%• 66%
Goal after half-time▼ 72%77%• 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Sacramento Republic 3 - 1 - 1 Oakland Roots. Average goals 4.60, both teams scored in 80% matches.

Oakland Roots
1 : 3
Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic FC
3 : 3
Oakland Roots SC
Oakland Roots SC
0 : 1
Sacramento Republic FC
Oakland Roots
2 : 5
Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic
2 : 3
Oakland Roots

FAQ

When do Sacramento Republic and Oakland Roots play?

Sacramento Republic face Oakland Roots on 25 October 2026 in USL Championship at Papa Murphy’s Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sacramento Republic and Oakland Roots?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 3, Oakland Roots won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?

Sacramento Republic score 1.34 goals per game on average and Oakland Roots 1.28. The USL Championship average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Sacramento Republic's matches and 55% of Oakland Roots's.

What form are Sacramento Republic and Oakland Roots in?

Over the last 5 games Sacramento Republic have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Oakland Roots 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?

The statistical background for Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.