Safa vs Al Ahed: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Safa played Al Ahed in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Safa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Al Ahed: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Safa scores 1.57 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Al Ahed scores 1.88 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.31 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Safa 43%, Al Ahed 25%. Over 2.5: Safa 29%, Al Ahed 63%. League level: BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Al Ahed has higher xG: 1.35 vs 0.83. Safa: 2.9 shots per match, Al Ahed: 9.5.

Match halves

Safa: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86. Al Ahed: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Safa: 31-45+ (4 goals). Al Ahed: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Lebanese Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
SafaAl Ahed
2Shots10
SafaAl Ahed
0Shots on target3
SafaAl Ahed
0.39xG1.37
SafaAl Ahed
0Corners3
SafaAl Ahed
34Dangerous attacks71
SafaAl Ahed
-1Fouls-1
SafaAl Ahed
-1Cards-1
SafaAl Ahed

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.57Goals scored / match1.88
SafaAl Ahed
0.71Goals conceded / match1.25
SafaAl Ahed
45%Average possession55%
SafaAl Ahed
1.43Shots on target / match5
SafaAl Ahed

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

2.86Shots per match9.5
SafaAl Ahed
1.43Shots on target5
SafaAl Ahed
55%Shot conversion19.7%
SafaAl Ahed
45%Possession55%
SafaAl Ahed
0.83xG for1.35
SafaAl Ahed
0.96xG against1.05
SafaAl Ahed

Shooting quality

Safa: Counter-attackingAl Ahed: Efficient finishing
SafaAl Ahed
Accuracy (shots on target)50%53%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.290.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)1.100.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Safa is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Safa · 1.8 pts / match - Al Ahed

Safa
DLWWW
Season result split
43% W29% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-2
1.57 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Al Ahed
WWLWL
Season result split
75% W0% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-0-2
2.25 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 away
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Ahed is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.57 goals / match - Safa · 1.88 goals / match - Al Ahed

Safa is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.71 goals / match - Safa · 1.25 goals / match - Al Ahed

Safa scoring profile: more difficult

Safa scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).

Al Ahed scoring profile: very strong

Al Ahed scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

11Goals scored (season)15
SafaAl Ahed
5Goals conceded (season)10
SafaAl Ahed
2.29Average goals in match3.13
SafaAl Ahed
10Goals scored (last 5)8
SafaAl Ahed
3Goals conceded (last 5)10
SafaAl Ahed

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal88%
SafaAl Ahed
43%2 goals63%
SafaAl Ahed
14%3 goals38%
SafaAl Ahed
14%4 goals0%
SafaAl Ahed

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal38%
SafaAl Ahed
0%2 goals25%
SafaAl Ahed
0%3 goals25%
SafaAl Ahed
0%4 goals25%
SafaAl Ahed

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time13%
SafaAl Ahed
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SafaAl Ahed
29%Scored in both halves50%
SafaAl Ahed

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
SafaAl Ahed
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS38%
SafaAl Ahed
40%BTTS - last 540%
SafaAl Ahed

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

29%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
SafaAl Ahed
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
SafaAl Ahed
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
SafaAl Ahed

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
SafaAl Ahed
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
SafaAl Ahed
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
SafaAl Ahed

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Ahed is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.57 pts / match - Safa · 2 pts / match - Al Ahed

Safa - half-time state
29% leading71% draw0% trailing
Al Ahed - half-time state
63% leading13% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.57Points per match (1st half)2
SafaAl Ahed
0.71Goals scored (1st half)1
SafaAl Ahed
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
SafaAl Ahed
0.71Average goals (1st half)1.63
SafaAl Ahed
100%Clean sheet before half-time63%
SafaAl Ahed
71%No goal before half-time38%
SafaAl Ahed

After half-time (2nd half)

1.57Points per match (2nd half)2
SafaAl Ahed
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
SafaAl Ahed
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
SafaAl Ahed
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.5
SafaAl Ahed
29%Clean sheet after half-time75%
SafaAl Ahed
43%No goal after half-time25%
SafaAl Ahed

Safa - second-half results

43% W29% R29% P
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Al Ahed - second-half results

63% W13% R25% P
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Safa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+5+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Al Ahed - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Safa
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
4
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Al Ahed
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
0
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
117%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Safa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.99
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.74
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Al Ahed

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).

Teams vs league

SafaLigaAl Ahed
Average goals in match 2.292.31 3.13
Both teams scored 43%31% 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%43% 63%
Clean sheets 29%43% 63%
Goal before half-time 29%57% 88%
Goal after half-time 86%73% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.31
Average goals per match
31%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
43%
Clean sheets
1.10
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+-8%
Home attack advantage
+-9%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Safa vs Al Ahed?

The Lebanese Premier League match finished Safa 0:1 Al Ahed. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Safa vs Al Ahed?

Safa score 1.57 goals per game on average and Al Ahed 1.88. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Safa's matches and 25% of Al Ahed's.

What form are Safa and Al Ahed in?

Over the last 5 games Safa have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Ahed 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Safa vs Al Ahed?

The statistical background for Safa vs Al Ahed — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.