Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıData current as of 03 November 2026

Safa vs Araz: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Safa vs Araz: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Safa play Araz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 7 November 2026.

Current form

Safa: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Araz: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Safa scores 0.60 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Araz scores 0.90 and concedes 2.10. League average: 2.60 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Safa 40%, Araz 60%. Over 2.5: Safa 40%, Araz 70%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Araz has higher xG: 1.28 vs 0.97. Safa: 6.9 shots per match, Araz: 10.6.

Match halves

Safa: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Araz: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

Safa: 46-60 (3 goals). Araz: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.6Goals scored / match0.9
SafaAraz
1.8Goals conceded / match2.1
SafaAraz
40%Average possession49%
SafaAraz
3.2Shots on target / match3.3
SafaAraz

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.9Shots per match10.6
SafaAraz
3.2Shots on target3.3
SafaAraz
8.7%Shot conversion8.5%
SafaAraz
40%Possession49%
SafaAraz
0.97xG for1.28
SafaAraz
1.84xG against1.72
SafaAraz

Shooting quality

Safa: BalancedAraz: Balanced
SafaAraz
Accuracy (shots on target)46%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.190.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Safa
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
10% W10% D80% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-8
0.40 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Last 5 at home
0-0-4
LLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Araz
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W30% D70% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-7
0.30 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Last 5 away
0-0-4
LLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Araz is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

0.6 goals / match - Safa · 0.9 goals / match - Araz

Safa is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.8 goals / match - Safa · 2.1 goals / match - Araz

Safa scoring profile: strong

Safa scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

Araz scoring profile: very strong

Araz scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

6Goals scored (season)9
SafaAraz
18Goals conceded (season)21
SafaAraz
2.4Average goals in match3
SafaAraz
4Goals scored (last 5)5
SafaAraz
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
SafaAraz

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal60%
SafaAraz
10%2 goals30%
SafaAraz
0%3 goals0%
SafaAraz
0%4 goals0%
SafaAraz

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal90%
SafaAraz
50%2 goals80%
SafaAraz
30%3 goals20%
SafaAraz
10%4 goals10%
SafaAraz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time20%
SafaAraz
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SafaAraz
10%Scored in both halves20%
SafaAraz

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
SafaAraz
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
SafaAraz
60%BTTS - last 580%
SafaAraz

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
SafaAraz
10%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
SafaAraz
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
SafaAraz

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
SafaAraz
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
SafaAraz
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
SafaAraz

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Araz is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Safa · 1.2 pts / match - Araz

Safa - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
Araz - half-time state
30% leading30% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.2
SafaAraz
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.5
SafaAraz
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.9
SafaAraz
0.7Average goals (1st half)1.4
SafaAraz
60%Clean sheet before half-time50%
SafaAraz
80%No goal before half-time50%
SafaAraz

After half-time (2nd half)

0.4Points per match (2nd half)0.3
SafaAraz
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
SafaAraz
1.3Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
SafaAraz
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.6
SafaAraz
20%Clean sheet after half-time20%
SafaAraz
60%No goal after half-time70%
SafaAraz

Safa - second-half results

10% W10% D80% L
10
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Araz - second-half results

0% W30% D70% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Safa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.4
Average goals in match0.61.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Araz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.20
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference0-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Safa
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
7
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Araz
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
0
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
20%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Safa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.87
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
42%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
154%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Araz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

SafaLigaAraz
Average goals in match▼ 2.402.60▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▼ 40%52%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%48%▲ 70%
Clean sheets▼ 10%29%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%66%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%79%• 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.60
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Safa and Araz play?

Safa face Araz on 7 November 2026 in Premyer Liqası. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Safa vs Araz?

Safa score 0.60 goals per game on average and Araz 0.90. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Safa's matches and 60% of Araz's.

What form are Safa and Araz in?

Over the last 5 games Safa have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Araz 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Safa vs Araz?

The statistical background for Safa vs Araz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.