Safa vs Mil Mugan FK: match statistics
Safa vs Mil Mugan FK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Safa played Mil Mugan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 29 August 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Safa: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Mil Mugan FK: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Safa scores 0.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Mil Mugan FK scores 0.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Safa 0%, Mil Mugan FK 50%. Over 2.5: Safa 0%, Mil Mugan FK 50%. League level: BTTS 27%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Safa has higher xG: 0.99 vs 0.76. Safa: 7.5 shots per match, Mil Mugan FK: 11.0.
Match halves
Safa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Mil Mugan FK: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Safa: 61-75 (1 goals). Mil Mugan FK: 76-90+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 27%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Safa sit higher in the table, occupying 6th place compared with Mil Mugan FK’s 8th position, and have already secured one win in their two league matches so far this season. In their last five games, the hosts have collected 7 points from 2 wins and a draw, while the visitors have earned just 3 points without a single victory. Mil Mugan FK have conceded 7 goals during this period, compared with Safa’s 4, indicating a significantly less stable defensive unit for the away side. On the road, the visitors average just 0.5 goals per game, their xG stands at 0.76, and they have failed to score in 50% of such matches. Although detailed home data for Safa is limited, their stronger results trend and Mil Mugan FK’s attacking struggles support making the hosts moderate favourites.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No: in their last five matches, Safa averaged just 0.6 goals, while Mil Mugan FK managed only 0.4. Both sides recorded a low percentage of Goal/Goal fixtures during this period, at 20% and 40% respectively, compared with the league average of 38%. Mil Mugan FK failed to score in 50% of its matches this season, despite averaging 5 shots on target, while its season xG stands at just 0.76. Safa have conceded only 0.8 goals per match recently, and a high 75% clean-sheet rate in the league further supports the scenario in which at least one team fails to score. Although the recent xG figures for both teams, 1.24 and 1.27, do not rule out isolated goals, their poor real-world finishing suggests a result with a blank on one side.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The league profile is clearly cautious: the average is 2.25 goals, and only 38% of matches have gone over 2.5 goals. In their last five matches, Safa averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Mil Mugan FK scored 0.4 and conceded 1.4 goals. Although the teams’ latest xG figures suggest potential of around 1.24 for Safa and 1.27 for the visitors, their actual finishing remains poor, resulting in just 5 goals scored across ten such appearances. The 3.5 line has been exceeded rarely, while 20% of Safa’s recent matches and 40% of Mil Mugan’s finished over 2.5 goals, further limiting the likelihood of a four-goal outcome. The strongest selection is therefore Under 3.5, as the expected total of 2.30 goals leaves a clear safety margin below this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Safa are showing clearly better current form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 1.4 points and won 40% of their games, while Mil Mugan FK have failed to win, averaging just 0.6 points. The hosts tend to start matches well, having led at the break in 40% of their last five appearances, with a first-half record of 0.4 goals scored against just 0.2 conceded per match. The visitors have not scored a single goal before half-time in those five games, were behind in 40% of them, and their season average xG is only 0.76. Mil Mugan FK concede an average of 1.5 goals per match and allow opponents an xG of 2.21, further strengthening Safa’s advantage once they take the lead. The HT/FT scenario in which the hosts lead at half-time and go on to win is therefore the strongest, although the low scoring output from both sides leaves a significant chance of a draw at half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Safa | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 53% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Safa is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Safa · 0.5 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Safa is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Safa · 1.5 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK
Safa scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Mil Mugan FK scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Safa
Over / Under - Mil Mugan FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Safa - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mil Mugan FK - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Safa
Mil Mugan FK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Safa | Liga | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.09 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 27% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 36% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 50% | 50% | • 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Mil Mugan FKGoalSeyxan Fərəcov
FAQ
What was the result of Safa vs Mil Mugan FK?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Safa 0:1 Mil Mugan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Safa vs Mil Mugan FK?
Safa score 0.50 goals per game on average and Mil Mugan FK 0.50. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Safa's matches and 50% of Mil Mugan FK's.
What form are Safa and Mil Mugan FK in?
Over the last 5 games Safa have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Mil Mugan FK 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Safa vs Mil Mugan FK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Safa vs Mil Mugan FK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.