Safa vs Reyady Abaseya: match statistics

Safa have the edge over their last five matches, earning 7 points compared with Reyady Abaseya’s 6. The hosts scored 12 goals in that period—twice as many as the visitors—which points to greater attacking efficiency. Safa also have the stronger defensive record, conceding 6 goals to their opponents’ 11. Although the visitors sit 8th and the hosts 9th, they have suffered three defeats in their last five matches, compared with Safa’s two. The lack of reliable data on chance quality and home and away performances limits confidence in the forecast, but recent results and the goal difference point to a home win.

In the last 5 matches, both teams scored in 40% of Safa’s games and 80% of Reyady Abaseya’s, providing a clearer signal in favor of goals at both ends. Safa averaged 2.4 goals per match during this period, while the visitors conceded 2.2, making a home goal look likely. Reyady Abaseya averaged 1.2 goals, while Safa conceded 1.2; additionally, the visitors’ xG was 2.08, indicating potential to score. The BTTS - Yes pick is weakened by the fact that BTTS occurred in only 2 of Safa’s last 5 matches, so this scenario is not a clear favorite. Zero values in the season statistics provide no basis for confirming these trends over a longer period.

In their last 5 matches, Safa scored an average of 2.4 goals and conceded 1.2, for a total of 3.6 goals per game. Over the same period, Reyada Abaseya matches averaged 3.4 goals, while the team conceded 2.2 goals per game. Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 80% of those matches, respectively, although Safa’s xG of 1.46 and the visitors’ 2.08 suggest caution when relying on goal figures alone. The forecast of 3.20 goals supports Over 1.5 goals, which, at an estimated probability of 83%, offers a stronger signal than the higher lines. Season figures of zero provide no useful confirmation here, so the assessment is based primarily on the last 5 matches.

Safa have averaged 2.4 goals scored across their last five matches, while Reyady Abaseya have conceded 2.2, pointing to the hosts’ attacking advantage. Safa averaged 1.5 goals before the break, while the visitors conceded 1.75; the hosts led at the break in 50% of the available matches, and the visitors were trailing at half-time in 50%. This pattern supports Safa taking the lead at the break. The hosts also averaged 1.5 goals in the second half, although the visitors did not concede after the break in the available sample, so Safa’s ability to hold on to their lead is uncertain. Even so, the contrast between Safa’s 2.4 goals scored and Reyady Abaseya’s 2.2 conceded makes a home lead at half-time followed by a full-time win the strongest scenario.