Safa vs Tadamon Sour: match statistics
Safa displays solid home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium, an impressive goal difference of +2, and 50% clean sheets in home matches. The hosts concede an average of only 0.5 goals per match at home, which constitutes a significant defensive advantage. Despite decent possession (52%) and better shot conversion (16% vs 13%), Tadamon Sour shows clearly weaker form with just 1 point per match in the last 5 fixtures. The visitors have a balanced goal difference on the road (0), but 40% losses and lower point efficiency suggest difficulties in gaining points away from home. Given Safa's defensive advantage on their own turf and the visitors' weaker recent form, I expect a home victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to both teams' tendency for low scores.
Safa vs Tadamon Sour: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Safa played Tadamon Sour in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Safa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Tadamon Sour: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Safa scores 1.09 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Tadamon Sour scores 0.64 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Safa 27%, Tadamon Sour 27%. Over 2.5: Safa 18%, Tadamon Sour 27%. League level: BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Safa has higher xG: 0.93 vs 0.80. Safa: 4.3 shots per match, Tadamon Sour: 4.1.
Match halves
Safa: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64. Tadamon Sour: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Safa: 31-45+ (4 goals). Tadamon Sour: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Lebanese Premier League: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Safa displays solid home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium, an impressive goal difference of +2, and 50% clean sheets in home matches. The hosts concede an average of only 0.5 goals per match at home, which constitutes a significant defensive advantage. Despite decent possession (52%) and better shot conversion (16% vs 13%), Tadamon Sour shows clearly weaker form with just 1 point per match in the last 5 fixtures. The visitors have a balanced goal difference on the road (0), but 40% losses and lower point efficiency suggest difficulties in gaining points away from home. Given Safa's defensive advantage on their own turf and the visitors' weaker recent form, I expect a home victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to both teams' tendency for low scores.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Safa | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.55 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tadamon Sour is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Safa · 1.6 pts / match - Tadamon Sour
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Safa is 70% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Safa · 0.64 goals / match - Tadamon Sour
Safa is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Safa · 1 goals / match - Tadamon Sour
Safa scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while Tadamon Sour keeps a clean sheet in 55% (6 of 11 matches).
Tadamon Sour scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Safa
Over / Under - Tadamon Sour
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Safa is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Safa · 1 pts / match - Tadamon Sour
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Safa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tadamon Sour - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Safa
Tadamon Sour
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Safa | Liga | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.82 | 2.29 | ▼ 1.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 31% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 41% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 41% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 18% | 57% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 75% | ▼ 45% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- SafaAssistmuhammad kadouh kadouh
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Safa 0 - 1 - 0 Tadamon Sour. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Safa vs Tadamon Sour?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Safa 2:0 Tadamon Sour. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Safa vs Tadamon Sour?
Safa score 1.09 goals per game on average and Tadamon Sour 0.64. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Safa's matches and 27% of Tadamon Sour's.
What form are Safa and Tadamon Sour in?
Over the last 5 games Safa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tadamon Sour 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Safa vs Tadamon Sour?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.