Safa vs Turan: match statistics
Safa vs Turan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Safa played Turan in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Safa: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Turan: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Safa scores 0.33 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Turan scores 1.00 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Safa 17%, Turan 33%. Over 2.5: Safa 33%, Turan 33%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Turan has higher xG: 1.56 vs 0.89. Safa: 6.2 shots per match, Turan: 12.8.
Match halves
Safa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33. Turan: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Safa: 46-60 (1 goals). Turan: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Turan sit 4th and have recorded 3 wins in six matches, while tenth-placed Safa have won only once and suffered 5 defeats. In their last five games, the hosts have lost 4 times and conceded 9 goals, whereas the visitors have suffered just one defeat and conceded 4. Safa have yet to score at home and concede an average of 2 goals per match; Turan average 1 goal away, although they are still without an away win. The visitors’ superior chance quality also supports their case: their away xG is 1.79, compared with the hosts’ 0.92 at home, while they allow opponents an xG of 0.86, versus Safa’s 2.04. Turan’s lack of an away win increases the likelihood of a draw, but the gap in finishing and chance creation favours the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Safa’s lack of scoring output: they have averaged just 0.4 goals across their last 5 matches, with an xG of 0.98. Turan conceded an average of 0.8 goals over that period, so a goal from the hosts is not guaranteed, even though the visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home. On the other hand, Turan average 1.79 xG and 5.5 shots on target per match, while Safa conceded 1.8 goals across their last 5 games, giving the visitors a realistic chance of scoring. BTTS - Yes landed in 20% of Safa’s last 5 matches and 40% of Turan’s, so the marginally more likely scenario is that at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: none of Safa’s matches in the season sample went over this line, while Turan’s did so in 50% of games. Safa averages 1.0 goals per match, dropping to just 0.4 across its last five, which limits the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Turan creates more chances, with an average xG of 1.79 compared with Safa’s 1.45, and could exploit the hosts’ recent defensive decline, as they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches. Even so, Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 40% of both teams’ last five matches, and the combined forecast of 2.45 goals gives Under 3.5 a clearer edge than the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely start to the match: in their last five games, Safa went into the break level on three occasions, while Turan did so four times. Over this period, Safa failed to score in the first half, whereas Turan averaged just 0.2 goals before the break. After half-time, the advantage shifts to the visitors: they averaged 0.8 goals in the second half across their last five matches, while the hosts conceded 1.2. Turan averaged 1.6 points per game in these five matches, compared with Safa’s 0.6, strengthening the case for an away win after an evenly matched first half. However, the X/2 pick is not a certainty, as Safa have conceded just 0.25 goals per game at home so far and have yet to lose.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Safa | Turan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.11 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Turan is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Safa · 1.6 pts / match - Turan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Turan is 203% better for: goals scored per match.
0.33 goals / match - Safa · 1 goals / match - Turan
Turan is 173% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Safa · 0.67 goals / match - Turan
Safa scores in 33% of matches (2 of 6 matches), while Turan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Turan scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Safa
Over / Under - Turan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Turan is 134% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Safa · 1.17 pts / match - Turan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Safa - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Turan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Safa
Turan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Safa | Liga | Turan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.46 | ▼ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 44% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 44% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Safa vs Turan?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Safa 0:1 Turan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Safa vs Turan?
Safa score 0.33 goals per game on average and Turan 1.00. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Safa's matches and 33% of Turan's.
What form are Safa and Turan in?
Over the last 5 games Safa have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Turan 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Safa vs Turan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Safa vs Turan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.