Sagaing United vs Thitsar Arman: match statistics
Sagaing United presents significantly better home form with 57% of matches won at home and an impressive average of 2.43 goals per match. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals, which attests to high offensive efficiency. Thitsar Arman has weak away statistics – only 13% wins and as many as 50% of matches without scoring a goal, which, combined with an average of 1.25 goals per away match, puts them in a difficult situation. Sagaing United's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.92 vs 1.36) and higher shot conversion (20% vs 14%) further support the prediction of a home victory. The goal difference of both teams (+4 for the hosts, -4 for the visitors in their matches) and Thitsar Arman's poor form (only 1 point per match in the last 5 meetings) speak for a Sagaing United win, although the visitors' high percentage of draws away (50%) suggests the match might be more competitive than the difference in form indicates.
Sagaing United vs Thitsar Arman: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sagaing United played Thitsar Arman in National League (Myanmar (Burma)). The match was played on 5 February 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Sagaing United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Thitsar Arman: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sagaing United scores 2.07 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. Thitsar Arman scores 1.40 and concedes 1.87. League average: 3.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sagaing United 73%, Thitsar Arman 60%. Over 2.5: Sagaing United 87%, Thitsar Arman 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
Sagaing United has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.44. Sagaing United: 11.4 shots per match, Thitsar Arman: 10.6.
Match halves
Sagaing United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.20. Thitsar Arman: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Sagaing United: 61-75 (11 goals). Thitsar Arman: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.72 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sagaing United presents significantly better home form with 57% of matches won at home and an impressive average of 2.43 goals per match. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals, which attests to high offensive efficiency. Thitsar Arman has weak away statistics – only 13% wins and as many as 50% of matches without scoring a goal, which, combined with an average of 1.25 goals per away match, puts them in a difficult situation. Sagaing United's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.92 vs 1.36) and higher shot conversion (20% vs 14%) further support the prediction of a home victory. The goal difference of both teams (+4 for the hosts, -4 for the visitors in their matches) and Thitsar Arman's poor form (only 1 point per match in the last 5 meetings) speak for a Sagaing United win, although the visitors' high percentage of draws away (50%) suggests the match might be more competitive than the difference in form indicates.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sagaing United | Thitsar Arman | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sagaing United is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Sagaing United · 1 pts / match - Thitsar Arman
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sagaing United is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
2.07 goals / match - Sagaing United · 1.4 goals / match - Thitsar Arman
Thitsar Arman is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - Sagaing United · 1.87 goals / match - Thitsar Arman
Sagaing United scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Thitsar Arman keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Thitsar Arman scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Sagaing United keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sagaing United
Over / Under - Thitsar Arman
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sagaing United is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Sagaing United · 1 pts / match - Thitsar Arman
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sagaing United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Thitsar Arman - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 4.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sagaing United
Thitsar Arman
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Sagaing United | Liga | Thitsar Arman | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.27 | 3.72 | ▼ 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 87% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 81% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sagaing United 0 - 0 - 1 Thitsar Arman. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sagaing United vs Thitsar Arman?
The National League match finished Sagaing United 3:3 Thitsar Arman. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sagaing United vs Thitsar Arman?
Sagaing United score 2.07 goals per game on average and Thitsar Arman 1.40. The National League average is 3.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Sagaing United's matches and 60% of Thitsar Arman's.
What form are Sagaing United and Thitsar Arman in?
Over the last 5 games Sagaing United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Thitsar Arman 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sagaing United vs Thitsar Arman?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sagaing United vs Thitsar Arman: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.