Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC: match statistics
Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sagan Tosu played Fujieda MYFC in J2 League (Japan). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sagan Tosu: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Fujieda MYFC: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sagan Tosu scores 0.89 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Fujieda MYFC scores 1.44 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sagan Tosu 33%, Fujieda MYFC 67%. Over 2.5: Sagan Tosu 33%, Fujieda MYFC 33%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Sagan Tosu has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.20. Sagan Tosu: 15.0 shots per match, Fujieda MYFC: 10.0.
Match halves
Sagan Tosu: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56. Fujieda MYFC: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Sagan Tosu: 0-15 (2 goals). Fujieda MYFC: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J2 League: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sagan Tosu have a slight home advantage, having won 50% of their home matches, while Fujieda MYFC have won 25% of their away games. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.61 xG per home match, compared with 1.16 xG for the visitors on the road, suggesting Sagan are likely to generate more opportunities. Both teams average 1.5 goals scored in these conditions, but Fujieda concede 1.75 goals per away match, compared with 1.5 conceded by Sagan at home. The hosts’ form tempers the prediction: they have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, although the visitors have also failed to win any of their last five. Fujieda’s three draws in that run mean a share of the points remains a realistic outcome, but Sagan’s edge in chance creation makes the hosts the pick.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 60% of Sagan Tosu matches and 75% of Fujieda MYFC matches, favoring the scenario in which both teams score. Sagan average 1.4 goals at home, while Fujieda concede 1.75 goals away and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. The visitors average 1.5 goals away, while Sagan have conceded an average of 1.6 goals across their last five matches. Caution is warranted, however: the hosts kept a clean sheet in 40% of their home matches, and the visitors have averaged just 0.8 goals across their last five games. Even so, the BTTS frequency figures and Fujieda’s defensive vulnerability make BTTS - Yes the slightly more likely pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Sagan Tosu matches went over 3.5 goals 20% of the time, compared with 50% for Fujieda MYFC, making this line a safer option than Over/Under 2.5 goals. Recent scoring form also supports a cautious forecast: Sagan averaged 0.6 goals across their last five matches, while Fujieda averaged 0.8. However, the hosts generated 1.52 xG during this period, so their lower conversion rate should not be treated as a lasting trend. In addition, the visitors concede an average of 1.75 goals away from home. The projections of 1.48 goals for Sagan and 1.02 for Fujieda add up to 2.50, and, alongside the historical frequency of high-scoring games, point to value on Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Sagan Tosu were level at the break in 3 of their 5 home matches and in 4 of their last 5 matches overall. The hosts failed to score before half-time in all 5 of those recent matches, further weighing against them taking an early lead. After the break, the advantage shifts towards Sagan: they average 0.8 goals in the second half at home, while Fujieda concede an average of 1.0 away in that period and have lost the second half in 75% of such matches. Sagan are yet to lose at home, while Fujieda have lost 50% of their away matches, making a half-time draw followed by a home win the strongest individual scenario. However, the risk of a draw at full-time remains significant, as Sagan have drawn 60% of their home matches and lost 4 of their last 5 matches overall.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sagan Tosu | Fujieda MYFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fujieda MYFC is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Sagan Tosu · 0.8 pts / match - Fujieda MYFC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fujieda MYFC is 62% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Sagan Tosu · 1.44 goals / match - Fujieda MYFC
Fujieda MYFC is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Sagan Tosu · 1.11 goals / match - Fujieda MYFC
Sagan Tosu scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Fujieda MYFC keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Fujieda MYFC scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Sagan Tosu keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sagan Tosu
Over / Under - Fujieda MYFC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fujieda MYFC is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Sagan Tosu · 1.78 pts / match - Fujieda MYFC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sagan Tosu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fujieda MYFC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sagan Tosu
Fujieda MYFC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).
Teams vs league
| Sagan Tosu | Liga | Fujieda MYFC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sagan Tosu 1 - 1 - 0 Fujieda MYFC. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
The J2 League match finished Sagan Tosu 1:0 Fujieda MYFC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sagan Tosu and Fujieda MYFC?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sagan Tosu won 1, Fujieda MYFC won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
Sagan Tosu score 0.89 goals per game on average and Fujieda MYFC 1.44. The J2 League average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Sagan Tosu's matches and 67% of Fujieda MYFC's.
What form are Sagan Tosu and Fujieda MYFC in?
Over the last 5 games Sagan Tosu have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Fujieda MYFC 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.