Japan - J2 LeagueData current as of 18 September 2026

Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sagan Tosu play Iwaki in J2 League (Japan). The match date is 19 September 2026.

Current form

Sagan Tosu: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Iwaki: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sagan Tosu scores 1.17 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Iwaki scores 1.33 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sagan Tosu 33%, Iwaki 67%. Over 2.5: Sagan Tosu 33%, Iwaki 67%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Sagan Tosu has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.57. Sagan Tosu: 14.8 shots per match, Iwaki: 13.5.

Match halves

Sagan Tosu: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Iwaki: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Sagan Tosu: 0-15 (2 goals). Iwaki: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

J2 League: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.17Goals scored / match1.33
Sagan TosuIwaki
1Goals conceded / match2
Sagan TosuIwaki
51%Average possession50%
Sagan TosuIwaki
4.83Shots on target / match4.33
Sagan TosuIwaki

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.83Shots per match13.5
Sagan TosuIwaki
4.83Shots on target4.33
Sagan TosuIwaki
7.9%Shot conversion9.9%
Sagan TosuIwaki
51%Possession50%
Sagan TosuIwaki
1.67xG for1.57
Sagan TosuIwaki
1.37xG against1.45
Sagan TosuIwaki

Shooting quality

Sagan Tosu: AttackingIwaki: Balanced
Sagan TosuIwaki
Accuracy (shots on target)33%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sagan Tosu is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Sagan Tosu · 0.6 pts / match - Iwaki

Sagan Tosu
DLDWL
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-2
1.33 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
WLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Iwaki
LLLLW
Season result split
33% W0% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Iwaki is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.17 goals / match - Sagan Tosu · 1.33 goals / match - Iwaki

Sagan Tosu is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Sagan Tosu · 2 goals / match - Iwaki

Sagan Tosu scoring profile: very strong

Sagan Tosu scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Iwaki keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Iwaki scoring profile: strong

Iwaki scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Sagan Tosu keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

7Goals scored (season)8
Sagan TosuIwaki
6Goals conceded (season)12
Sagan TosuIwaki
2.17Average goals in match3.33
Sagan TosuIwaki
5Goals scored (last 5)6
Sagan TosuIwaki
6Goals conceded (last 5)11
Sagan TosuIwaki

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal83%
Sagan TosuIwaki
50%2 goals50%
Sagan TosuIwaki
0%3 goals0%
Sagan TosuIwaki
0%4 goals0%
Sagan TosuIwaki

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal83%
Sagan TosuIwaki
33%2 goals50%
Sagan TosuIwaki
17%3 goals50%
Sagan TosuIwaki
0%4 goals17%
Sagan TosuIwaki

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time50%
Sagan TosuIwaki
17%BTTS in both halves17%
Sagan TosuIwaki
33%Scored in both halves17%
Sagan TosuIwaki

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
Sagan TosuIwaki
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Sagan TosuIwaki
40%BTTS - last 560%
Sagan TosuIwaki

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Sagan TosuIwaki
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Sagan TosuIwaki
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Sagan TosuIwaki

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Sagan TosuIwaki
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Sagan TosuIwaki
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Sagan TosuIwaki

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sagan Tosu is 149% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Sagan Tosu · 0.67 pts / match - Iwaki

Sagan Tosu - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing
Iwaki - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)0.67
Sagan TosuIwaki
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Sagan TosuIwaki
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)1
Sagan TosuIwaki
0.67Average goals (1st half)1.5
Sagan TosuIwaki
83%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Sagan TosuIwaki
50%No goal before half-time50%
Sagan TosuIwaki

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.17
Sagan TosuIwaki
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Sagan TosuIwaki
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Sagan TosuIwaki
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.83
Sagan TosuIwaki
50%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Sagan TosuIwaki
50%No goal after half-time50%
Sagan TosuIwaki

Sagan Tosu - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Iwaki - second-half results

33% W17% D50% L
4
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sagan Tosu - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Iwaki - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-3-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sagan Tosu
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Iwaki
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
3
31-45
4
2
46-60
0
3
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-45%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sagan Tosu

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Iwaki

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.79
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).

Teams vs league

Sagan TosuLigaIwaki
Average goals in match 2.172.54 3.33
Both teams scored 33%41% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%46% 67%
Clean sheets 50%35% 17%
Goal before half-time 50%66% 67%
Goal after half-time 83%77% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
41%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Sagan Tosu 1 - 1 - 0 Iwaki. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Sagan Tosu
1 : 0
Iwaki SC
Iwaki SC
1 : 1
Sagan Tosu

FAQ

When do Sagan Tosu and Iwaki play?

Sagan Tosu face Iwaki on 19 September 2026 in J2 League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sagan Tosu and Iwaki?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sagan Tosu won 1, Iwaki won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki?

Sagan Tosu score 1.17 goals per game on average and Iwaki 1.33. The J2 League average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Sagan Tosu's matches and 67% of Iwaki's.

What form are Sagan Tosu and Iwaki in?

Over the last 5 games Sagan Tosu have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Iwaki 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.