Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata: match statistics
Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sagan Tosu play Jubilo Iwata in J2 League (Japan). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 06:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Sagan Tosu: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Jubilo Iwata: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sagan Tosu scores 1.21 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Jubilo Iwata scores 1.54 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sagan Tosu 53%, Jubilo Iwata 54%. Over 2.5: Sagan Tosu 45%, Jubilo Iwata 54%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Jubilo Iwata has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.35. Sagan Tosu: 11.3 shots per match, Jubilo Iwata: 11.2.
Match halves
Sagan Tosu: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.58. Jubilo Iwata: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Sagan Tosu: 31-45+ (13 goals). Jubilo Iwata: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J2 League: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sagan Tosu | Jubilo Iwata | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Jubilo Iwata is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Sagan Tosu · 2.2 pts / match - Jubilo Iwata
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jubilo Iwata is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Sagan Tosu · 1.54 goals / match - Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Sagan Tosu · 1.33 goals / match - Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Jubilo Iwata keeps a clean sheet in 31% (12 of 39 matches).
Jubilo Iwata scores in 79% of matches (31 of 39 matches), while Sagan Tosu keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sagan Tosu
Over / Under — Jubilo Iwata
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sagan Tosu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Jubilo Iwata - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).
Teams vs league
| Sagan Tosu | Liga | Jubilo Iwata | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.34 | 2.46 | ▲ 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 45% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 29% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sagan Tosu 0 - 0 - 1 Jubilo Iwata. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata?
The J2 League match finished Sagan Tosu 1:2 Jubilo Iwata. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata?
Sagan Tosu score 1.21 goals per game on average and Jubilo Iwata 1.54. The J2 League average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Sagan Tosu's matches and 54% of Jubilo Iwata's.
What form are Sagan Tosu and Jubilo Iwata in?
Over the last 5 games Sagan Tosu have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Jubilo Iwata 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata?
The statistical background for Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.