Saipa vs Navad Urmia: match statistics
Saipa are showing solid home form with 71% clean sheets and only a 14% loss rate at their own ground, which makes them a tough opponent for visiting sides. Navad Urmia have poor away results—50% losses, only 13% wins, and just 0.5 goals scored per away match on average. The hosts hold the edge in expected goals (xG 1.29 vs 1.0) and post better efficiency in possession (54% vs 47%). The last five-match form also favours Saipa (1.6 points per game vs 1.0). Navad Urmia fail to score in 50% of away matches, which could be decisive against the hosts’ solid defence. Taking all stats into account, Saipa have a clear advantage, although their tendency to draw at home (57%) cannot be ignored.
Saipa vs Navad Urmia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Saipa played Navad Urmia in Azadegan League (Iran). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Saipa: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Navad Urmia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Saipa scores 0.81 and concedes 0.44 goals per match. Navad Urmia scores 0.75 and concedes 0.69. League average: 1.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Saipa 19%, Navad Urmia 44%. Over 2.5: Saipa 25%, Navad Urmia 13%. League level: BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 21%.
xG, shots and style
Saipa has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.00. Saipa: 6.7 shots per match, Navad Urmia: 1.9.
Match halves
Saipa: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.38. Navad Urmia: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Saipa: 0-15 (3 goals). Navad Urmia: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.49 goals per match, BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 21%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Saipa are showing solid home form with 71% clean sheets and only a 14% loss rate at their own ground, which makes them a tough opponent for visiting sides. Navad Urmia have poor away results—50% losses, only 13% wins, and just 0.5 goals scored per away match on average. The hosts hold the edge in expected goals (xG 1.29 vs 1.0) and post better efficiency in possession (54% vs 47%). The last five-match form also favours Saipa (1.6 points per game vs 1.0). Navad Urmia fail to score in 50% of away matches, which could be decisive against the hosts’ solid defence. Taking all stats into account, Saipa have a clear advantage, although their tendency to draw at home (57%) cannot be ignored.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Saipa | Navad Urmia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 10% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.53 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 3.95 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Saipa is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Saipa · 1 pts / match - Navad Urmia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Saipa is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
0.81 goals / match - Saipa · 0.75 goals / match - Navad Urmia
Saipa is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.44 goals / match - Saipa · 0.69 goals / match - Navad Urmia
Saipa scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Navad Urmia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
Navad Urmia scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Saipa keeps a clean sheet in 75% (12 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Saipa
Over / Under - Navad Urmia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Saipa is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Saipa · 1.13 pts / match - Navad Urmia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Saipa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Navad Urmia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Saipa
Navad Urmia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Saipa | Liga | Navad Urmia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.25 | 1.49 | • 1.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 19% | 32% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 25% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 57% | • 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Saipa vs Navad Urmia?
The Azadegan League match finished Saipa 1:0 Navad Urmia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Saipa vs Navad Urmia?
Saipa score 0.81 goals per game on average and Navad Urmia 0.75. The Azadegan League average is 1.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 21% of games. Both teams score in 19% of Saipa's matches and 44% of Navad Urmia's.
What form are Saipa and Navad Urmia in?
Over the last 5 games Saipa have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Navad Urmia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Saipa vs Navad Urmia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Saipa vs Navad Urmia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.